Week 5 Roundup: Piper Aerial Donination Edition

"Welcome to this live broadcast. This is glorious football weather. . USA...are playing from left to right. Waaaaales are playing from right to left." 

 

"Waaaaales, thwarted again"

"He's hit it at the keeper!"

"WHAT A CRACKER!" 

"He still has possession!"

"USA...are passing well"

"WHAT AN OPPORTUNITY!"

"He's running well"

"A number of opportunities are available" 

"HE HIT IT AT THE WALL!"

"KEEPER!...a magnificent save"

"There's a fight for aerial domination!"  

With the World Cup having started yesterday and the US taking on Wales today, figured I'd throwback to the glorious commentary of International Superstar Soccer 64 for the opening. Let's get to this week's post.

 

Stat Corrections
-There were 2 stat corrections this week but since neither player was rostered I'm not going to list them here. 

Transactions

- Gamblor added Ja Morant and dropped Tyrese Haliburton on November 14th

- Pgastan FC added Jae'Sean Tate on November 15th

- GG Foulin' added Jalen Williams and dropped Keegan Murray on November 18th

- Pgastan FC dropped Nic Claxton on November 19th 

- Gamblor added Larry Nance Jr. and dropped Dwayne Dedmon on November 20th

 

Not sure why F'N FLOPPERS dropped Jae'Sean Tate instead of putting him on an IL spot as he is an excellent fouler. That allowed Pgastan FC to swoop in and pick him up to stash in an IL spot. But that was after Tate was on the waiver wire for over a day for anyone to pick up. In fact, he was almost on the waiver wire for 36 hours, so really anyone could have picked him up. Could be a league changer if he can come back from this injury and resume the fouling that we're all used to. 

 

Standings as of November 21st, 2022

 

1. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 2560 (+405) 

2. Baltimore Hitsquad - 2555 (+485)

3. Pgastan FC - 2475 (+545)

4. GG Foulin' - 2390 (+410) 

5. Gamblor - 2350 (+565)

6. Arlington Assaulters - 2235  (+535)

7. F'N FLOPPERS - 1835 (+290) 

8. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 1815 (+345)

9. Ohsnappers!!! - 1690 (+365)

<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week

 

Ohsnappers!!! had an average week of 365 points and stays in last place. Rodman'sWeddingDress had an average week of 345 points and stays in 8th place. F'N FLOPPERS had a poor week of 290 points and stays in 7th place. Arlington Assaulters had an excellent week of 535 points and stays in 6th place. Gamblor had an excellent week of 565 points and stays in 5th place. 

GG Foulin' had a great week of 410 points and falls to 4th place. Pgastan FC had an excellent week of 545 points and moves up to 3rd place. Baltimore Hitsquad had a great week of 485 points and stays in 2nd place, though only 5 points (1 personal foul) behind 1st place. Which means, Oww Ming's Flagrants remains in 1st place after a great week of 405 points. 

Points Graph:

 

 

Tier 5: Ohsnappers!!!

Tier 4: F'N FLOPPERS, Rodman'sWeddingDress

Tier 3: Arlington Assaulters

Tier 2: Pgastan FC, GG Foulin', Gamblor

Tier 1: Oww Ming's Flagrants, Baltimore Hitsquad 

The standings are starting to settle down a little bit and we're starting to get some established tiers. Though, the top 6 teams are pretty close together with the point difference between 1st and 6th only being 325 points. So, I could have lumped the top 6 teams into one tier really but we'll see how the next few weeks play out. In fact, the top 6 clubs are all fouling above the league average, 5 weeks in. 

Well that's it for now.

Keep Foulin' Y'all!

FM

 

 

 

Week 4 Roundup: 1st Month Analysis Blowout!

Well, we've reached week 4 which means it's time for the 1st month analysis blowout! Since we've got a long post ahead and I gotta copy the templates for each section from one of these posts from last year, I'm just going to get right into the post.

Stat Corrections
-There were no stat corrections this week

Transactions

- Oww Ming's Flagrants added OG Anunoby and dropped Desmond Bane on November 11th

- Pgastan FC dropped Caleb Martin on November 12th

- GG Foulin' added Keegan Murray and dropped Santi Aldama on November 13th

- GG Foulin' added Marcus Morris and dropped Isaiah Jackson on November 13th

- Pgastan FC added Nic Claxton on November 13th

- F'N FLOPPERS added Bojan Bogdanovic and dropped Gary Trent Jr. on November 13th

- F'N FLOPPERS added Caleb Martin and dropped Jae'Sean Tate on November 13th

 

 

Standings as of November 14th, 2022

 

1. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 2155 (+580) 

2. Baltimore Hitsquad - 2070 (+805)

3. GG Foulin' - 1980 (+585) 

4. Pgastan FC - 1930 (+440)

5. Gamblor - 1785 (+435)

6. Arlington Assaulters - 1700  (+430)

7. F'N FLOPPERS - 1545 (+495) 

8. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 1470 (+345)

9. Ohsnappers!!! - 1325 (+355)

<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week

 

Ohsnappers!!! had an average week of 355 points and stays in last place. Rodman'sWeddingDress had an average week of 345 points and falls to 7th place. F'N FLOPPERS had a great week of 495 points and moves up to 7th place. Arlington Assaulters had a great week of 430 points but falls to 6th place. Gamblor had a great week of 435 points but falls to 5th place. 

 

Pgastan FC had a great week of 440 points but falls from 2nd to 4th place. GG Foulin' had an excellent week of 585 points and stays in 3rd place. Baltimore Hitsquad had an amazing week of 805 points and moves all the way up to 2nd place from 6th! Finally, Oww Ming's Flagrants had an excellent week of 580 points and remains in 1st place. 

Average Points Per Game - Avg PPG (Last Month Avg PPG)

 

1. Oww Ming's Flagrants (91 Games) - 23.86 (N/A)

2. Baltimore Hitsquad (86 Games) - 24.07 (N/A) 

3. GG Foulin' (92 Games) - 21.52 (N/A)

4. Pgastan FC (87 Games) - 22.18 (N/A)  

5. Gamblor (87 Games) - 20.52 (N/A)

6. Arlington Assaulters (87 Games) - 19.54 (N/A) 

7. F'N FLOPPERS (80 Games) -  19.31 (N/A) 

8. Rodman'sWeddingDress (84 Games) - 17.50 (N/A)

9. Ohsnappers!!! (74 Games) - 17.91 (N/A)

League Average (85 Games) - 20.69 (N/A) 

In terms of games played the only really big outlier is Ohsnappers!!! lagging well behind the pack with only 74 games played. F'N FLOPPERS is next at 80 games played. After that most are in the mid-80s to lower 90s. By this metric Rodman'sWeddingDress should be in last and Ohsnappers!!! should be in 8th. The only other teams under/over performing are Baltimore Hitsquad and Oww Ming's Flagrants should be in 1st and 2nd respectively as opposed to 2nd and 1st.  

Projected Final Standings:
 
Team Name - Traditional Method (Linear Regression) [Previous Month's LR]  

 

1. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 13,470 (13,385) [N/A]

2. Baltimore Hitsquad - 12,940 (11,935) [N/A] 

3. GG Foulin' - 12,375 (12,060) [N/A]

4. Pgastan FC - 12,060 (12,100) [N/A] 

5. Gamblor - 11,155 (11,180) [N/A]  

6. Arlington Assaulters - 10,625 (10,565) [N/A]

7. F'N FLOPPERS -  9,655 (9,520) [N/A] 

8. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 9,190 (9,220) [N/A]

9. Ohsnappers!!! - 8,280 (8,300) [N/A] 

 

A few things from the projected final standings that should be noted. First, the biggest discrepancy between the traditional method and linear regression method is Baltimore Hitsquad where the difference is 995 points. They had a huge night thanks to Jaden McDaniels last night who almost fouled for the cycle (just missed the ejection) so that probably skews his projection in the traditional method. 

 

Using the linear regression method Oww Ming's Flagrants is far ahead of the 2nd place club (Pgastan FC) projected at 13,385 where PFC comes in at 12,100. Baltimore Hitsquad would finish in 4th place according to this though they are currently in 2nd. Basically, Pgastan FC and Baltimore Hitsquad should be swapped. All other foul clubs seem to be fouling at their correct level through 4 weeks. 

 

Points Graph:

 

 

Tier 3: F'N FLOPPERS, Rodman'sWeddingDress, Ohansppers!!!

Tier 2: Gamblor, Arlington Assaulters

Tier 1: Oww Ming's Flagrants, Baltimore Hitsquad, GG Foulin', Pgastan FC 

 

It's still early so the tiers are still jumbled together but I could have split them up a little more. I think you could make the case for 5 total tiers going with:

 

Tier 5: Ohansppers!!!

Tier 4: FN' FLOPPERS, Rodman'sWeddingDress

Tier 3: Gamblor, Arlington Assaulters

Tier 2: GG Foulin', Pgastan FC

Tier 1: Oww MIng's Flagrants, Baltimore Hitsquad

 

Either case it's best to let this shakeout over the next few weeks and we'll see where the dust settles.

 

Well that's it for now.

 

Keep Foulin' Y'all!

 

FM 

Week 3 Roundup: "Key-Pay-Wah" Edition

You may be wondering what the title of this week's post means. Well you're in luck as I'll give a short explanation. With Nintendo releasing Mario Party 1 and 2 on Nintendo Switch Online this past week I got wind of a story involving 2 NFA GMs when they were kids in the 90s playing Mario Party. The story goes: the 2 future GMs of Pgastan FC and Rodman'sWeddingDress were playing Mario Party and were waiting to find out what mini-game would be played after the current round. It was randomly selecting as it usually does and the game selected was Key-Pa-Way. However, for whatever reason Rodman'sWeddingDress blurted out "Key-Pay-Wah" when it was selected and it became an inside joke still referenced today by 2 of the founding members of the National Foul Association. Anyway, let's get to this week's post.

Stat Corrections
- Georges Niang had a personal foul taken away from him retroactive to October 31st. F'N FLOPPERS did not have him active that week so he does not lose 5 points.

 

Transactions

- GG Foulin' added Santi Aldama on November 3rd

- Pgastan FC dropped Tyler Herro on November 4th

 

Standings as of November 7th,  2022

 

1. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 1575 (+505) 

2. Pgastan FC - 1490 (+570)

3. GG Foulin' - 1395 (+470)

4. Gamblor - 1350 (+420)

5. Arlington Assaulters - 1270  (+435)

6. Baltimore Hitsquad - 1265 (+355)

7. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 1125 (+350)

8. F'N FLOPPERS - 1050 (+220) 

9. Ohsnappers!!! - 970 (+235)

<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week

 

Ohsnappers!!! had a poor week of 235 points and remains in last place. F'N FLOPPERS also had a poor week scoring 220 points and drops to 8th place. Rodman'sWeddingDress has an average week of 350 points and moves up to 7th place. Baltimore Hitsquad had an average week of 355 points but drops to 6th place. Arlington Assaulters had a great week of 435 points and moves up to 5th place. 

 

Gamblor had a great week of 420 points but drops to 4th place. GG Foulin' had a great week of 470 points and stays in 3rd place. Pgastan FC had an excellent week of 570 points and moves up to 2nd place. Finally, Oww Ming's Flagrants had an excellent week of 505 points and stays in 1st place.

 

Next week is week 4, so that means we'll be unveiling the points graph for this season. I also think I'll be continuing the Team Strength Check-Ins I started last season starting in week 6 as well. So be on the look out for those 2 recurring features of Flagrant Ideals. 

 

Well that's it for now.

 

Keep Foulin' Y'all!

 

FM

 

Week 2 Roundup: Late and Abbreviated Edition

As I mentioned at the end of my post last week, I was going to be posting Week 2's roundup a few days later than normal. I just go back from traveling and my flight was delayed so got back later than planned. In that case this will be a short post. Luckily, with the Performance Foul Watch completed after just 1 week and it's still too early for the points graph it can be a short post! Now, let's get to it.

Stat Corrections
- Grant Williams had a techy given to him retroactive to October 24th. Oww Ming's Flagrants did not have him active that week so he does not gain 40 points.

- Grant Williams had an ejection given to him retroactive to October 24th. Oww Ming's Flagrants did not have him active that week so he does not gain 100 points.

 

Transactions

- Rodman'sWeddingDress added Christian Koloko and dropped Dwight Powell on October 26th

- Pgastan FC added Caleb Martin and dropped Chris Duarte on October 27th

- Pgasatan FC added DeAndre Hunter on October 29th

Standings as of October 31st, 2022

 

1. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 1070 (+495) 

2. Gamblor - 930 (+565)

3. GG Foulin' - 925 (+410)

4. Pgastan FC - 920 (+430)

5. Baltimore Hitsquad - 910 (+485)

6. Arlington Assaulters - 835 (+435)

7. F'N FLOPPERS - 830 (+395)

8. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 775 (+515)

9. Ohsnappers!!! - 735 (+455)

<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week

 

Please note, that I am keeping the scores for this section as of Monday for record keeping purposes and statistical analysis. 

 

Ohsnappers!!! had a great week of 455 points but falls to 9th place. Rodman'sWeddingDress had an excellent week of 515 points and moves up to 8th place. F'N FLOPPERS had an average week of 395 points but falls from 4th to 7th. Arlington Assaulters had an great week of 435 points and stays in 6th place. Baltimore Hitsquad had a great week of 485 points and stays in 5th place.

 

Pgastan FC had a great week of 430 points and drops to 4th place. GG Foulin' had a great week of 410 points and drops to 3rd place. Gamblor had an excellent week of 565 points and moves from 7th to 2nd. Finally, Oww Ming's Flagrants had a great week of 495 points and stays in 1st place. 

Well that's it for now.

Keep Foulin' Y'all! 

FM

 

Week 1 Roundup: Bears on Monday Night Football Edition

Since the Bears appear to be terrible (though leading the Patriots 10-0 at the time of writing) it's likely this will be the Bears last prime time game for a while. So, I might as well enjoy this last prime time game for a while. Now, with that being said, let's get into the first weekly roundup of the season!

Performance Foul Watch:

 

Oww Ming's Flagrants - Techy on 10/18/22
Baltimore Hitsquad - Techy on 10/21/22
Pgastan FC - Foul Out on 10/19/22
Rodman'sWeddingDress - Foul Out on 10/19/22
GG Foulin' - Foul Out on 10/19/22
Ohsnappers!!! - Techy on 10/19/22
F'N FLOPPERS - Techy on 10/18/22
Gamblor - Foul Out on 10/21/22
Arlington Assaulters - Foul Out on 10/19/22

First Ejection - GG Foulin' on 10/22/22
First Flagrant - Baltimore Hitsquad 10/23/22
First Techy - Oww Ming's Flagrants and F'N FLOPPERS on 10/18/22
First Foul Out - Oww Ming's Flagrants, Arlington Assaulters, GG Foulin', Pgastan FC, and Rodman'sWeddingDress on 10/19/22

I think this speaks volume to the GMs to all the Foul Clubs in the NFA and their scouting and analytics departments that we have already finished the Performance Foul Watch in the first week! That's a first since I've been doing that segment. We broke it in Week 2 in 2019 so week 2 was the previous record. Again, it just goes to show you how Foulerball has really increased the awareness and smarts of GMs running foul clubs. 

Stat Corrections
- There were no stat corrections this week

 

Transactions

- Arlington Assaulters added Al Horford on October 21st

- Oww Ming's Flagrants added Kelly Olynyk and dropped Garrison Matthews on October 21st

- Gamblor added Terence Davis and dropped Darius Garland on October 22nd

- Pgastan FC added Chris Duarte on October 22nd

- Pgastan FC added Deandre Ayton and dropped Jalen Duren on October 22nd

- Pgastan FC added Tyler Herro and dropped Tarl Eason on October 22nd

- Pgastan FC added Caleb Martin on October 23rd

- Pgastan FC dropped Caleb Martin on October 23rd

 

Standings as of October 24th, 2022

 

1. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 575 (+575)

2. GG Foulin' - 515 (+515)

3. Pgastan FC - 490 (+490)
4. F'N FLOPPERS - 435 (+435)

5. Baltimore Hitsquad - 425 (+425)

6. Arlington Assaulters - 400 (+400)

7. Gamblor - 365 (+365)

8. Ohsnappers!!! - 280 (+280)

9. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 260 (+260)

<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week

 

Rodman'sWeddingDress is off to a poor start with a week of only 260 points starting the season in 9th place. Ohsnappers!!! also had a poor week scoring 280 points and is in 8th place after week 1. Gamblor had an average week of 365 points and finds themselves in 7th. Arlington Assaulters had a great week of 400 points and starts the season in 6th place. Baltimore Hitsquad also had a great week, scoring 425 points, and starts in 5th place.

F'N FLOPPERS had a great week of 435 points and is in 4th place after week 1. Pgastan FC had a great week of 490 points and starts in 3rd place. GG Foulin' had an excellent week of 515 points and begins the season in 2nd place. Oww Ming's Flagrants, the post-draft consensus favorite to win the league, is off to a great start after an excellent week of 575 points and is atop the standings after week 1.

Of course the NFA is a marathon not a sprint so you'll definitely want to follow this blog to see who will come out on top 6 months from now. One other thing I forgot to mention in my post last week is that GG Foulin' has chance the complete the elusive three-peat in the NFA after Rodman'sWeddingDress (2010-2011 and 2011-2012) and Pgastan FC (2018-2019 and 2019-2020) failed to do so. 

Finally, a programming note for next week. I'll be out of town next Monday and won't be able to post this at it's normal time. I'm hoping to post it on Wednesday but if not I should be able to post it by Thursday. 

Well that's it for now.

Keep Foulin' Y'all!

FM

2022-2023 NFA Draft Recap and Season Preview

It's great to be back! With the NFA season starting tomorrow and the draft last night this post will give you a recap of the draft and then a short season preview.

 

2022-23 NFA Draft:

 

Well for starters the draft took only about 40 minutes, which is excellent as the last few drafts have dragged on due to some GMs being indecisive. Each Foul Club still had 90 seconds to make a pick and 8 of the 9 GMs were present, the only exception was Ohsnappers!!!. Here's a recap of the first round of last nights draft. 

 

2022-23 NFA Draft Round 1:

1. Oww Ming's Flagrants - Karl-Anthony Towns

2. Pgastan FC - Dillon Brooks

3. Baltimore Hitsquad - Alperen Sengun

4. F'N FLOPPERS - Joel Embiid

5. Arlington Assaulters - Julius Randle

6. GG Foulin' - Russell Westbrook

7. Rodman'sWeddingDress - Motrezl Harrell

8. Gamblor - Draymond Green

9. Ohsnappers!!! Nikola Jokic

Oww Ming's Flagrants won the draft lottery this year and took the consensus number 1 pick in Karl-Anthony Towns. Pgastan FC was next on the clock and took Dillon Brooks. My sources tell me that he had KAT, Brooks, and Draymond lined up in his queue. Baltimore Hitsquad was 3, and using his metrics of projected fouls by Yahoo! for the season took the biggest surprise of the round in Alperen Sengun. It's not a bad pick but he probably falls a few rounds. However, time will tell if he is vindicated. F'N FLOPPERS chose 4th and selected Joel Embiid, always a good pick if he can stay healthy. 

Arlington Assaulters snagged Julius Randle at 5 which could be great value. GG Foulin' went Russell Westbrook at 6 trying to solidify their starting PG position. Rodman'sWeddingDress took Montrezl Harrell at 7 which is probably the other big surprise of the 1st round. Gamblor got great value at 8 with Draymond Green, always a great fouler. Finally, Ohsnappers!!! took Nikola Jokic on auto-pick, which isn't a terrible auto-pick. 

Post-Draft Transactions

-Oww Ming's Flagrants added Grant Williams 

Oww Ming beat multiple Foul Clubs in drafting the injured Jaren Jackson Jr. so he was able to stash him on IR and made the above roster move in conjunction. 

Season Preview

I'm going to go with a short team by team preview and outlook in this next section with teams listed in order of the draft.

 

1. Oww Ming's Flagrants - The NFA GM consensus immediately after the draft was that Oww Ming has the best Foul Club this season. Some even going as far to saying "he's stacked." However, after closer examination, they might lack a little depth so could ultimately be beatable but they are the betting favorites at the start of the season to take the title. 

2. Pgastan FC - Has some strong early picks but a little weak at PG and SF. Also taking some chances on 2 rookies to start the season so they may lack depth and early waiver wire moves may be critical for success in the long run. My sources tell me PFC feels OK about their draft but not great. 

3. Baltimore Hitsquad - Based off of last years stats, you have to say the Hitsquad has a pretty weak team. But they are banking on Yahoo!'s projections of personal fouls for this year to be good. They also have 3 rookies in their starting lineup! 

4. F'N FLOPPERS - Has a decent team, probably middle of the pack on paper but definitely has some potential to challenge for the top half of the standings. Their 2nd round pick, Jae'Sean Tate could be a huge steal but looks to start the season injured. 

5. Arlington Assaulters - Can they return to their glory days in the NFA? They have a pretty strong team on paper, 6 of their 7 starters averaging over 20 points per game last season. Though, they had Jae Crowder on their bench as of now who averaged 29 points per game last year. That's why the sports books have AA as 2nd in odds to win the NFA title this year. 

6. GG Foulin' - Can last years winner repeat? Well based on their draft they'll have some work to do. However, they should be a contender for the title but are not the clear favorites on the eve of the season. He's very strong at guard this season so we'll see if that strategy pays off.

7. Rodman'sWeddingDress - A couple strong picks and a few risks picks make Rodman'sWeddingDress a true wildcard for the season. If his bets pay off he could be challenging for their first title in 8 seasons. He's taking a chance on Ben Simmons at PG who sat out all of last season but has shown he can foul when called upon. 

8. Gamblor - Twice the runner-up but never winning a title, is this the year for Gamblor? On paper, probably not, though that's based on last years stats of course. Though they have some strong picks in Draymond, Gobert, and Oubre Jr. they are likely facing an uphill battle to contend this season. 

9. Ohsnappers!!! - The only Foul Club not to have representation at the draft will likely be confined to the NFA cellar all season. Jokic is a decent 1st round pick but aside from that they don't have much. Paul George is currently on their bench and arguably their 2nd best player, though Giannis has had some good fouling in the past. If they want to contend they'll have to make some waiver wire moves and actively manage this season.

Season Prediction: It's likely we get a duel for 1st between AA and Oww Ming and a duel for 3rd between PFC and GG Foulin' this season. A little role reversal from previous seasons. I'm not going to predict the final standings because the NFA is so random. But that's why we love it! 

Happy Foulin' and enjoy the season!

Well that's it for now.

 

Keep Foulin' Y'all!

 

FM