Well, we've reached week 4 which means it's time for the 1st month analysis blowout! Since we've got a long post ahead and I gotta copy the templates for each section from one of these posts from last year, I'm just going to get right into the post.
Stat Corrections
-There were no stat corrections this week
-There were no stat corrections this week
Transactions
- Oww Ming's Flagrants added OG Anunoby and dropped Desmond Bane on November 11th
- Pgastan FC dropped Caleb Martin on November 12th
- GG Foulin' added Keegan Murray and dropped Santi Aldama on November 13th
- GG Foulin' added Marcus Morris and dropped Isaiah Jackson on November 13th
- Pgastan FC added Nic Claxton on November 13th
- F'N FLOPPERS added Bojan Bogdanovic and dropped Gary Trent Jr. on November 13th
- F'N FLOPPERS added Caleb Martin and dropped Jae'Sean Tate on November 13th
Standings as of November 14th, 2022
1. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 2155 (+580)
2. Baltimore Hitsquad - 2070 (+805)
3. GG Foulin' - 1980 (+585)
4. Pgastan FC - 1930 (+440)
5. Gamblor - 1785 (+435)
6. Arlington Assaulters - 1700 (+430)
7. F'N FLOPPERS - 1545 (+495)
8. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 1470 (+345)
9. Ohsnappers!!! - 1325 (+355)
<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week
Ohsnappers!!! had an average week of 355 points and stays in last place. Rodman'sWeddingDress had an average week of 345 points and falls to 7th place. F'N FLOPPERS had a great week of 495 points and moves up to 7th place. Arlington Assaulters had a great week of 430 points but falls to 6th place. Gamblor had a great week of 435 points but falls to 5th place.
Pgastan FC had a great week of 440 points but falls from 2nd to 4th place. GG Foulin' had an excellent week of 585 points and stays in 3rd place. Baltimore Hitsquad had an amazing week of 805 points and moves all the way up to 2nd place from 6th! Finally, Oww Ming's Flagrants had an excellent week of 580 points and remains in 1st place.
Average Points Per Game - Avg PPG (Last Month Avg PPG)
1. Oww Ming's Flagrants (91 Games) - 23.86 (N/A)
2. Baltimore Hitsquad (86 Games) - 24.07 (N/A)
3. GG Foulin' (92 Games) - 21.52 (N/A)
4. Pgastan FC (87 Games) - 22.18 (N/A)
5. Gamblor (87 Games) - 20.52 (N/A)
6. Arlington Assaulters (87 Games) - 19.54 (N/A)
7. F'N FLOPPERS (80 Games) - 19.31 (N/A)
8. Rodman'sWeddingDress (84 Games) - 17.50 (N/A)
9. Ohsnappers!!! (74 Games) - 17.91 (N/A)
League Average (85 Games) - 20.69 (N/A)
In terms of games played the only really big outlier is Ohsnappers!!! lagging well behind the pack with only 74 games played. F'N FLOPPERS is next at 80 games played. After that most are in the mid-80s to lower 90s. By this metric Rodman'sWeddingDress should be in last and Ohsnappers!!! should be in 8th. The only other teams under/over performing are Baltimore Hitsquad and Oww Ming's Flagrants should be in 1st and 2nd respectively as opposed to 2nd and 1st.
Projected Final Standings:
Team Name - Traditional Method (Linear Regression) [Previous Month's LR]
Team Name - Traditional Method (Linear Regression) [Previous Month's LR]
1. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 13,470 (13,385) [N/A]
2. Baltimore Hitsquad - 12,940 (11,935) [N/A]
3. GG Foulin' - 12,375 (12,060) [N/A]
4. Pgastan FC - 12,060 (12,100) [N/A]
5. Gamblor - 11,155 (11,180) [N/A]
6. Arlington Assaulters - 10,625 (10,565) [N/A]
7. F'N FLOPPERS - 9,655 (9,520) [N/A]
8. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 9,190 (9,220) [N/A]
9. Ohsnappers!!! - 8,280 (8,300) [N/A]
A few things from the projected final standings that should be noted. First, the biggest discrepancy between the traditional method and linear regression method is Baltimore Hitsquad where the difference is 995 points. They had a huge night thanks to Jaden McDaniels last night who almost fouled for the cycle (just missed the ejection) so that probably skews his projection in the traditional method.
Using the linear regression method Oww Ming's Flagrants is far ahead of the 2nd place club (Pgastan FC) projected at 13,385 where PFC comes in at 12,100. Baltimore Hitsquad would finish in 4th place according to this though they are currently in 2nd. Basically, Pgastan FC and Baltimore Hitsquad should be swapped. All other foul clubs seem to be fouling at their correct level through 4 weeks.
Points Graph:
Tier 3: F'N FLOPPERS, Rodman'sWeddingDress, Ohansppers!!!
Tier 2: Gamblor, Arlington Assaulters
Tier 1: Oww Ming's Flagrants, Baltimore Hitsquad, GG Foulin', Pgastan FC
It's still early so the tiers are still jumbled together but I could have split them up a little more. I think you could make the case for 5 total tiers going with:
Tier 5: Ohansppers!!!
Tier 4: FN' FLOPPERS, Rodman'sWeddingDress
Tier 3: Gamblor, Arlington Assaulters
Tier 2: GG Foulin', Pgastan FC
Tier 1: Oww MIng's Flagrants, Baltimore Hitsquad
Either case it's best to let this shakeout over the next few weeks and we'll see where the dust settles.
Well that's it for now.
Keep Foulin' Y'all!
FM
No comments:
Post a Comment