Week 12 Roundup: 3rd Month Analysis Blowout!

We've reached the point in the season for another analysis post, so let's get right to it. 

Stat Corrections:

- Nikola Jokic had a techy taken away from him retroactive to January 7th. Gamblor had him active that week so he loses 40 points.

Transactions

- Oww Ming's Flagrants dropped Ja Morant on January 9th 

- Arlington Assaulters dropped Jordan Clarkson on January 12th

- Arlington Assaulters added Brook Lopez and dropped Marcus Morris Sr. on January 12th

- Pgastan FC added Cole Anthony and dropped Naz Reid on January 14th

- Pgastan FC added Jalen Johnson and dropped Kyle Kuzma on January 14th

Standings as of January 15th, 2024

 

1. GG Foulin' - 5635 (+500)

2. Pgastan FC - 5525 (+250) 

3. Arlington Assaulters - 5200 (+255)

4. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 4875 (+260)

5. F'N FLOPPERS - 4595 (+355)   

6. Baltimore Hitsquad - 4230 (+405)

7. Ohsnappers!!! - 4080 (+275)

8. Gamblor - 3960 (+370) 

9. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 3800 (+340) 

<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week

 

Rodman'sWeddingDress had an average week of 340 points and stays in last place. Gamblor had an average week of 370 points and stays in 8th place. Ohsnappers!!! had a poor week of 275 points and stays in 7th place. Baltimore Hitsquad had a great week of 405 points but stays in 6th place. F'N FLOPPRES had an average week of 355 points and stays in 5th place. 

 

Oww Ming's Flagrants had a poor week of 260 points and stays in 4th place. Arlington Assautlers had a poor week of 255 points and stays in 3rd place. Pgastan FC had a poor week of 250 points but falls to 2nd place. GG Foulin' had an excellent week of 500 points and moves up to 1st place.

 

There were a lot of poor weeks this week with scoring seemingly down this week. In fact 4 of the 9 foul clubs scored under 300 points. But we still had 3 points clubs score an average week of 300-400 points with the remaining 2 teams scoring above 400 points. 

 

Average Points Per Game - Avg PPG (Last Month Avg PPG)

 

1. GG Foulin' (271 Games) - 20.79 (22.41)

2. Pgastan FC (257 Games) - 21.50 (24.10)

3. Arlington Assaulters (253 Games) - 20.55 (23.88) 

4. Oww Ming's Flagrants (249 Games) - 19.58 (21.52)

5. F'N FLOPPERS (251 Games) - 18.31 (20.62)

6. Baltimore Hitsquad (251 Games) - 16.85 (15.98)

7. Ohsnappers!!! (233 Games) - 17.51 (18.13)

8. Gamblor (248 Games) - 15.97 (16.94)

9. Rodman'sWeddingDress (250 Games) - 15.20 (16.27)

 

League Average (251 Games) - 18.47 (19.98)  

 

We're now 3 months in so we've got a good sample size and things are beginning to normalize.  Teams fouling under their potential include Pgastan FC who shuld be in 1st place by this metric and Ohsnappers!!! who should be in 7th place. Teams over-performing by this metric are GG Foulin' and Baltimore Hitsquad. 

Projected Final Standings:
 
Team Name - Traditional Method (Linear Regression) [Previous Month's LR]  

 

1. GG Foulin' - 11,740 (12,200) [13,115] 

2. Pgastan FC - 11,510 (12,185) [12,980] 

3. Arlington Assaulters - 10,835 (11,370) [11,685]

4. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 10,155 (10,685) [11,215] 
5. F'N FLOPPERS -  9,575 (9,955) [10,020]

6. Baltimore Hitsquad - 8,815 (8,445) [8,055]

7. Ohsnappers!!! - 8,500 (8,735) [8,955]  

8. Gamblor - 8,250 (8,230) [8,120]

9. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 7,915 (8,175) [8,835]

 

According to this metric, the top 5 teams are fouling as they should be. Ohsnappers!!! should be in 6th place while Baltimore Hitsquad should be in 7th place. Gamblor and Rodman'sWeddingDress are where they should be according to our linear regression model. 

Points Graph:

Tier 5: Baltimore Hitsquad, Ohsnappers!!!, Gamblor, Rodman'sWeddingDress

Tier 4: F'N FLOPPERS

Tier 3: Oww Ming's Flagrants

Tier 2: Arlington Assaulters

Tier 1: GG Foulin', Pgastan FC

 

The only switch within a tier occurred in tier 1 with GG and PFC swapping positions. The rest stayed in the same oreder but we have seen some spacing between teams so I added a 5th tier this time as you can see it in the graph. 

 

Well that's it for now.

 

Keep Foulin' Y'all!

 

FM

 

Week 11 Roundup: Draymond's Back Edition

Draymond Green is back from his suspension but the jury is still out on if he will continue to be the elite fouler he has been throughout his career. One can only hope because the league needs an elite fouler ever since DeMarcus Cousins left. Draymond is no-doubt an NFA Hall of Famer and could probably be in consideration for GOAT. Anyway, let's get to this week's post. 

Stat Corrections:

- Bam Adebayo had a techy taken away from him retroactive to November 6th. Baltimore Hitsquad had him active that week so he loses 40 points.

It was another round of techies being taken away, as 9 techies in total were taken away. However, Bam Adeabyo was the only fouler on a foul club so that's the only one we're highlighting here. 

Transactions

- Ohsnappers!!! added Bogdan Bogdanovic and dropped Lauri Markkanen on January 2nd

- Ohsnappers!!! added P.J. Washington on January 2nd

Standings as of January 8th, 2024

 

1. Pgastan FC - 5275 (+540) 

2. GG Foulin' - 5135 (+390)

3. Arlington Assaulters - 4945 (+385)

4. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 4615 (+415)

5. F'N FLOPPERS - 4240 (+235)   

6. Baltimore Hitsquad - 3825 (+465)

7. Ohsnappers!!! - 3805 (+290)

8. Gamblor - 3590 (+320) 

9. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 3460 (+375) 

<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week

 

Rodman'sWeddingDress had an average week of 375 points but stays in last place. It's been quite a rough few years for this once great foul club though they still have 3 titles to their name which puts them tied for 2nd all-time with GG Foulin' and only behind Pgastan FC. Gamblor had an average week of 320 points and stays in 8th place. Ohsnappers!!! had a poor week of 290 points and falls to 7th place. Baltimore Hitsquad had a great week of 465 points and moves up to 6th place. 

F'N FLOPPERS had a poor week of 235 points and stays in 5th place. Oww Ming's Flagrants had a great week of 415 points and while they stay in 4th place they seem to be making a charge to the top tier by closing that gap beteween them and Arlington Assaulters. Speaking of Arlington Assaulters, they had an average week of 385 points and stay in 3rd. GG Foulin' had an average week of 390 points and falls to 2nd. Finally, Pgastan FC had an excellent week of 540 points and moves back up to 1st place. 

Points Graph:

 

 

Tier 4: Baltimore Hitsquad, Ohsnappers!!!, Gamblor, Rodman'sWeddingDress

Tier 3: F'N FLOPPERS

Tier 2: Oww Ming's Flagrants

Tier 1: Pgastan FC, GG Foulin' Arlington Assaulters

 

I've decided to move Oww Ming's Flagrants in a tier of their own as they have pulled way from F'N FLOPPERS and F'N FLOPPERS is now fouling below league average. The bottom tier and top tier remain the same as last week.

Side note: If you follow podcasts, especially video game podcasts, tier list videos are all the rage (and you may be familiar with the website tiermaker to create said tier lists). I just want to point out that this blog was doing tier lists way before they were popular.

Well that's it for now.

Keep Foulin' Y'all!

FM