We've reached the point in the season for another analysis post, so let's get right to it.
Stat Corrections:
- Nikola Jokic had a techy taken away from him retroactive to January 7th. Gamblor had him active that week so he loses 40 points.
Transactions
- Oww Ming's Flagrants dropped Ja Morant on January 9th
- Arlington Assaulters dropped Jordan Clarkson on January 12th
- Arlington Assaulters added Brook Lopez and dropped Marcus Morris Sr. on January 12th
- Pgastan FC added Cole Anthony and dropped Naz Reid on January 14th
- Pgastan FC added Jalen Johnson and dropped Kyle Kuzma on January 14th
Standings as of January 15th, 2024
1. GG Foulin' - 5635 (+500)
2. Pgastan FC - 5525 (+250)
<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week
3. Arlington Assaulters - 5200 (+255)
4. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 4875 (+260)
5. F'N FLOPPERS - 4595 (+355)
6. Baltimore Hitsquad - 4230 (+405)
7. Ohsnappers!!! - 4080 (+275)
8. Gamblor - 3960 (+370)
9. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 3800 (+340)
<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week
Rodman'sWeddingDress had an average week of 340 points and stays in last place. Gamblor had an average week of 370 points and stays in 8th place. Ohsnappers!!! had a poor week of 275 points and stays in 7th place. Baltimore Hitsquad had a great week of 405 points but stays in 6th place. F'N FLOPPRES had an average week of 355 points and stays in 5th place.
Oww Ming's Flagrants had a poor week of 260 points and stays in 4th place. Arlington Assautlers had a poor week of 255 points and stays in 3rd place. Pgastan FC had a poor week of 250 points but falls to 2nd place. GG Foulin' had an excellent week of 500 points and moves up to 1st place.
There were a lot of poor weeks this week with scoring seemingly down this week. In fact 4 of the 9 foul clubs scored under 300 points. But we still had 3 points clubs score an average week of 300-400 points with the remaining 2 teams scoring above 400 points.
Average Points Per Game - Avg PPG (Last Month Avg PPG)
1. GG Foulin' (271 Games) - 20.79 (22.41)
2. Pgastan FC (257 Games) - 21.50 (24.10)
League Average (251 Games) - 18.47 (19.98) 3. Arlington Assaulters (253 Games) - 20.55 (23.88)
4. Oww Ming's Flagrants (249 Games) - 19.58 (21.52)
5. F'N FLOPPERS (251 Games) - 18.31 (20.62)
6. Baltimore Hitsquad (251 Games) - 16.85 (15.98)
7. Ohsnappers!!! (233 Games) - 17.51 (18.13)
8. Gamblor (248 Games) - 15.97 (16.94)
9. Rodman'sWeddingDress (250 Games) - 15.20 (16.27)
Projected Final Standings:
Team Name - Traditional Method (Linear Regression) [Previous Month's LR]
Team Name - Traditional Method (Linear Regression) [Previous Month's LR]
1. GG Foulin' - 11,740 (12,200) [13,115]
2. Pgastan FC - 11,510 (12,185) [12,980]
3. Arlington Assaulters - 10,835 (11,370) [11,685]
4. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 10,155 (10,685) [11,215]
5. F'N FLOPPERS - 9,575 (9,955) [10,020]
5. F'N FLOPPERS - 9,575 (9,955) [10,020]
6. Baltimore Hitsquad - 8,815 (8,445) [8,055]
7. Ohsnappers!!! - 8,500 (8,735) [8,955]
8. Gamblor - 8,250 (8,230) [8,120]
9. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 7,915 (8,175) [8,835]
According to this metric, the top 5 teams are fouling as they should be. Ohsnappers!!! should be in 6th place while Baltimore Hitsquad should be in 7th place. Gamblor and Rodman'sWeddingDress are where they should be according to our linear regression model.
Points Graph:
Tier 5: Baltimore Hitsquad, Ohsnappers!!!, Gamblor, Rodman'sWeddingDress
Tier 4: F'N FLOPPERS
Tier 3: Oww Ming's Flagrants
Tier 2: Arlington Assaulters
Tier 1: GG Foulin', Pgastan FCThe only switch within a tier occurred in tier 1 with GG and PFC swapping positions. The rest stayed in the same oreder but we have seen some spacing between teams so I added a 5th tier this time as you can see it in the graph.
Well that's it for now.
Keep Foulin' Y'all!
FM
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