Well, can you believe it? It's already time for the 5th month analysis post. Time really flies when you're having fun in the NFA. Since we got another long post ahead, let's get right to it.
Stat Corrections:
- There were no stat corrections this week.
Transactions
- Pgastan FC added Kyle Anderson and dropped Taylor Hendricks on March 7th
- Pgastan FC added Naz Reid and dropped Jalen Johnson on March 7th
- GG Foulin' added Jeremy Sochan and dropped Dennis Schroder on March 8th
- GG Foulin' added Duop Reath and dropped Dorian Finney-Smith on March 8th
- GG Foulin' added Richaun Holmes and dropped Isaiah Hartenstein on March 9th
- Pgastan FC added Bradley Beal on March 9th
- Pgastan FC added Dorian Finney-Smith and dropped Donte DiVincenzo on March 10th
Standings as of March 11th, 2024
1. GG Foulin' - 9250 (+530)
2. Arlington Assaulters - 8565 (+725)
3. Pgastan FC - 7870 (+420)
4. Ohsnappers!!! - 7655 (+760)
5. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 7415 (+425)
6. F'N FLOPPERS - 7275 (+260)
7. Baltimore Hitsquad - 6925 (+265)
8. Gamblor - 6255 (+270)
9. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 6220 (+230)
<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week
Rodman'sWeddingDress had a poor week of 230 points and falls to 9th place again. Gamblor had a poor week of 270 points but climbs out of the cellar to 8th place. Baltimore Hitsquad had a poor week of 265 points and stays in 7th place. F'N FLOPPERS had a poor week of 260 points and falls from 4th place to 6th place. Oww Ming's Flagrants had a great week of 425 points and stays in 5th place.
Ohsnappers!!! had an amazing week of 760 points and moves up to 4th place from 6th. Pgastan FC had a great week of 420 points but stays in 3rd place. Arlington Assaulters had an amazing week of 725 points and stays in 2nd place. GG Foulin' had an excellent week of 530 points and stays in 1st place.
Average Points Per Game - Avg PPG (Last Month Avg PPG)
1. GG Foulin' (450 Games) - 20.56 (20.07)
2. Arlington Assaulters (424 Games) - 20.20 (20.09)
3. Pgastan FC (416 Games) - 18.92 (19.44)
4. Ohsnappers!!! (394 Games) - 19.43 (18.27)
5. Oww Ming's Flagrants (403 Games) - 18.40 (18.20)
6. F'N FLOPPERS (409 Games) - 17.79 (18.89)
7. Baltimore Hitsquad (390 Games) - 17.76 (17.41)
8. Gamblor (409 Games) - 15.29 (15.60)
9. Rodman'sWeddingDress (398 Games) - 15.63 (15.03)
According to the Points per Game metric GG Foulin' and Arlington Assautlers are correctly 1 and 2, however we get some curveballs starting at 3rd where Pgastan FC should really be in 4th and Ohsnappers!!! should be in 3rd. This really shows PFC getting owned by injuries the last 6-8 weeks and it's really showing. He's gotta hope he can hang on for that bronze at this rate. The only other change is that Gamblor should be in 9th place and Rodman'sWeddingDress should be in 8th.
Projected Final Standings:
Team Name - Traditional Method (Linear Regression) [Previous Month's LR]
Team Name - Traditional Method (Linear Regression) [Previous Month's LR]
1. GG Foulin' - 11,560 (11,750) [11,960]
2. Arlington Assaulters - 10,705 (10,730) [10,905]
3. Pgastan FC - 9,840 (10,735) [11,470]
4. Ohsnappers!!! - 9,570 (9,050) [8,910]
5. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 9,270 (9,615) [10,015]
6. F'N FLOPPERS - 9,095 (9,620) [9,875]
6. F'N FLOPPERS - 9,095 (9,620) [9,875]
7. Baltimore Hitsquad - 8,655 (8,770) [8,825]
8. Gamblor - 7,820 (8,,035) [8,180]
9. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 7,775 (7,855) [7,985]
Based on our linear regression model, the projected standings still have GG Foulin' in 1st (no surprise) but they have Pgastan FC squeaking by Arlington Assaulters by a mere 5 points for 2nd place. F'N FLOPPERS is still projected to finish in 4th place followed by 5th place and then Ohsnappers!!! in 6th. Finally, Baltimore Hitsquad, Gamblor, and Rodman'sWeddingDress round out 7, 8, 9 (which is why 6 was afraid of 7).
Points Graph:
Tier 6: Gamblor, Rodman'sWeddingDress
Tier 5: Baltimore Hitsquad
Tier 4: Ohsnappers!!!, Oww Ming's Flagrants, F'N FLOPPERS
Tier 3: Pgastan FC
Tier 2: Arlington Assaulters
Tier 1: GG Foulin'
Some movement in the tiers this week. The bottom tier stays the same with Gamblor and Rodman but they switch order. I decided to put Baltimore Hitsquad in their own tier followed by Ohsnappers, Oww Ming, and Floppers. Then I demoted PFC a tier because of their slump. I think there's a case to be made that Tier 5, 4, and 3 could be one tier but there's almost 1000 points between Baltimore Hitsquad and PFC so decided to break it up a little bit. But just looking at the graph there really is a middle tier of just meh teams. Finally, Arlington Assautlers deserves their own tier just behind GG Foulin' who is in a tier of their own at the top.
Well that's it for now.
Keep Foulin' Y'all!
FM
No comments:
Post a Comment