Week 4 Roundup: 1st Month Analysis Blowout!

 You know the deal for these, it's a long post so let's get right to it. 

Stat Corrections:

 - There were no stat corrections this week

 

Transactions

- Ohsnappers!!! added Jalen Suggs and dropped Fred VanVleet on November 13th

- Pgastan FC added Jordan Hawkins and dropped Ausar Thompson on November 18th

- Arlington Assaulters added Bobby Portis on November 19th

Standings as of November 20th, 2023

 

1. GG Foulin' - 2335 (+385)

2. Pgastan FC - 2205 (+400)

3. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 1955 (+350)

4. Arlington Assaulters - 1870 (+710) 

5. Ohsnappers!!! - 1545 (+525)

6. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 1505 (+305)

7. F'N FLOPPERS - 1495 (+385)

8. Baltimore Hitsquad - 1415 (+470)

9. Gamblor - 1075 (+385)

<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week

 

Gamblor had an average week of 385 points and stays in last place. Baltimore Hitsquad had a great week of 470 points but stays in 8th place. F'N FLOPPERS had an average week of 385 points and drops to 7th place from 6th. Rdoman'sWeddingDress had an average week of 305 points and falls to 6th place from 4th. Ohsnappers!!! had an excellent week of 525 points and moves up to 5th place from 7th. 

 

Arlington Assaulters had an amazing week of 710 points and moves up to 4th place from 5th. Oww Ming's Flagrants had an average week of 350 points bus tays in 3rd place. Pgastan FC had a great week of 400 point but stays in 2nd place. GG Foulin' had an average week of 385 points but stays atop the leaderboard. 

 

Average Points Per Game - Avg PPG (Last Month Avg PPG)

 

1. GG Foulin' (86 Games) - 27.15 (N/A)

2. Pgastan FC (84 Games) - 26.25 (N/A)

3. Oww Ming's Flagrants (85 Games) - 23.00 (N/A)

4. Arlington Assaulters (80 Games) - 23.38 (N/A) 

5. Ohsnappers!!! (83 Games) - 18.61 (N/A)

6. Rodman'sWeddingDress (90 Games) - 16.72 (N/A

7. F'N FLOPPERS (86 Games) - 17.38 (N/A)

8. Baltimore Hitsquad (83 Games) - 17.05 (N/A)

9. Gamblor (89 Games) - 12.08 (N/A)

 

League Average (85 Games) - 20.18 (N/A) 

 

In terms of points per game Arlington Assautlers is in 3rd place while Oww Ming is slightly behind in 4th place.  The league average fits nicely between 4th and 5th place. Rodman'sWeddingDress should be in 8th place, while F'N FLOPPERS should be in 6th and Baltimore Hitsquad in 7th. 

Projected Final Standings:
 
Team Name - Traditional Method (Linear Regression) [Previous Month's LR]  

 

1. GG Foulin' - 14,595 (15,320) [N/A]

2. Pgastan FC - 13,780 (14,070) [N/A]

3. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 12,220 (12,235) [N/A] 

4. Arlington Assaulters - 11,690 (10,115) [N/A] 

5. Ohsnappers!!! - 9,655 (8,775) [N/A] 

6. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 9,405 (9,580) [N/A]

7. F'N FLOPPERS -  9,345 (9,095) [N/A] 

8. Baltimore Hitsquad - 8,845 (8,215) [N/A]

9. Gamblor - 6,720 (6,200) [N/A]

 

In terms of linear regression, the top 4 are correct but after that it gets a little tricky. Rodman'sWeddingDress should be in 5th, F'N FLOPPERS should be in 66h, and Ohsnappers!!! should be in 7th. Baltimore Hitsquad and Gamblor are correctly in 8th and 9th respectively. 

Points Graph:

 

 

Tier 4: Gamblor

Tier 3: Ohsnappers!!!, Rodman'sWeddingDress, F'N FLOPPERS, Baltimore Hitsquad

Tier 2: Oww Ming's Flagrants, Arlington Assaulters

Tier 1: GG Foulin', Pgastan FC

We're only 4 weeks in but we do have 4 pretty distinct tiers. The usual powerhouses are at the top and the usual bottom feeders have found the cellar already. It's still early though, and a lot can change in the next 21 weeks. 

Well that's it for now.

Keep Foulin' Y'all!

FM