Week 8 Roundup: 2nd Month Analysis Blowout!

It's that time again and since these posts are generally the longest posts of the blog let's get right into it 

 

Stat Corrections
- There were no stat corrections this week

Transactions

-There were no transactions this week

Standings as of December 12th, 2022

 

1. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 4050 (+370) 

2. Pgastan FC - 3985 (+460)  

3. Gamblor - 3920 (+405)

4. Baltimore Hitsquad - 3815 (+440)

5. GG Foulin' - 3710 (+350)  

6. Arlington Assaulters - 3680  (+485) 

7. F'N FLOPPERS - 3075 (+485)  

8. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 2920 (+315)

9. Ohsnappers!!! - 2725 (+260)

<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week

 

Ohsnappers!!! had a poor week of 260 points and stays in 9th place. Rodman'sWeddingDress had an average week of 315 points and falls to 8th place. F'N FLOPPERS had a great week of 485 points and moves up to 7th place. Arlington Assaulters had a great week of 485 points and stays in 2nd place. GG Foulin' had an average week of 350 points and stays in 5th place. 

 

Baltimore Hitsquad had a great week of 440 points and stays in 4th place. Gamblor had a great week of 405 points and stays in 3rd place. Pgastan FC had a great week of 460 points and stays in 2nd place. Finally, Oww Ming's Flagrants had an average week of 370 points and stays in 1st place. 

 

The only movement this week was F'N FLOPPERS and Rodman'sWeddingDress swapping positions from 7th and 8th. Other than that, as detailed above the standings are the same as less week. 

 

Average Points Per Game - Avg PPG (Last Month Avg PPG)

 

1. Oww Ming's Flagrants (178 Games) -  22.75 (23.86)

2. Pgastan FC (177 Games) - 22.51 (22.18) 

3. Gamblor (169 Games) -  23.20 (20.52)

4. Baltimore Hitsquad (174 Games) - 21.93 (24.07) 

5. GG Foulin' (184 Games) - 20.16 (21.52)

6. Arlington Assaulters (175 Games) - 21.03 (19.54) 

7. F'N FLOPPERS (161 Games) - 19.10 (19.31) 

8. Rodman'sWeddingDress (167 Games) - 17.49 (17.50)

9. Ohsnappers!!! (148 Games) -  18.41 (17.91)

League Average (170 Games) - 20.73 (20.69) 

So by this metric, Gamblor should be in 1st place, followed by Oww Ming in 2nd, PFC in 3rd and Baltimore in 4th. Arlington Assaulters is under performing slightly as they should be in 5th place. GG Foulin' should be in 6th place and they are the first Foul Club to be fouling under league average. The big surprise here is Rodman'sWeddingDress underperforming by a lot as they should be in 9th place. Of course, Ohsnappers!!! has so few games played they find themselves in last place.

Projected Final Standings:
 
Team Name - Traditional Method (Linear Regression) [Previous Month's LR]  

 

1. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 12,655 (13,030) [13,385]

2. Pgastan FC - 12,455 (12,320) [12,100] 

3. Gamblor - 12,250 (11,895) [11,180]  

4. Baltimore Hitsquad - 11,920 (12,175) [11,935] 

5. GG Foulin' - 11,595 (11,855) [12,060]

6. Arlington Assaulters - 11,500 (11,325) [10,565]

7. F'N FLOPPERS -  9,610 (9,450) [9,520] 

8. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 9,125 (9,280) [9,220]

9. Ohsnappers!!! - 8,515 (8,555) [8,300]

 

So by this metric, Oww Ming's Flagrants is still projected to finish in 1st, with PFC in 2nd. The first change is that Baltimore Hitsquad is projected to finish 3rd above Gamblor by linear regression method. Other than that, all foul clubs seem to be meeting expectations by this metric. There are still some rather large discrepancies between traditional method and linear regression but it's starting to settle down as opposed to the week 4 post. 

 

Points Graph:

 

 

Tier 4: F'N FLOPPERS, Rodman'sWeddingDress, Ohsnappers!!!

Tier 3: Baltimore Hitsquad, GG Foulin', Arlington Assaulters

Tier 2: Pgastan FC, Gamblor

Tier 1: Oww Ming's Flagrants

 

The tiers are a little hard to split up since most foul clubs are separated by the adjacent foul clubs by about 100. GG Foulin' and AA and PFC and Gamblor are the exceptions to that. There is clearly a bottom tier with F'N, Rodman, and Ohsnappers!!!. After that the teams are generally bunched up with 6th place Arlington Assaulters only 370 points back from 1st. You can clearly see that in the graph, that while there is minor separation between top 6 foul clubs, all foul clubs are well in the hunt for the NFA title this season.  

 

Well that's it for now.

 

Keep Foulin' Y'all!

 

FM