Well it's week 12 so you know what that means! Another monthly analysis post! Since we have a long post ahead, I'm just going to get right to it now.
Stat Corrections:
- There were no stat corrections this week
Transactions:
- GG Foulin' added LaMelo Ball on March 13th
- Ohsnappers!!! added Kelly Olynyk and dropped Bobby Portis on March 14th
- Ohsnappers!!! added RJ Barrett and dropped Kawhi Leonard on March 14th
- Baltimore Hitsquad added Norman Powell and dropped Damion Lee on March 14th
Standings as of March 15th, 2021
1. GG Foulin' - 5530 (+320)
2. Pgastan FC - 5290 (+330)
3. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 5210 (+255)
4. F'N FLOPPERS - 4245 (+415)
5. Arlington Assaulters - 4025 (+215)
6. Gamblor - 3960 (+110)
7. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 3935 (+160)
8. Baltimore Hitsquad - 3850 (+320)
9. Ohsnappers!!! - 2355 (+85)
<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week
Again, this was a shortened week so keep that in mind even though we had some decent scores for some foul clubs. Ohsnappers!!!, however, did not have one of those decent weeks. In fact, they had a horrible week of 85 points and remains in last place. Baltimore Hitsquad had an average week of 320 points and stays in 8th place. Rodman'sWeddingDress had a horrible week of 160 points and stays in 7th place.
Gamblor had a horrible week of 110 points and falls from 4th to 6th place. Arlington Assautlers had a poor week of 215 points but actually moves up to 5th place. Finally, for the middle three teams, F'N FLOPPERS had a great week of 415 points and moves from 5th to 4th place, thanks to a Kyle Lowry ejection.
For the top 3 teams, Oww MIng's Flagrants had a poor week of 255 points and stays in 3rd place. Pgastan FC had an average week of 330 points (finally ending their performance foul drought) and stays in 2nd place. GG Foulin' had an average week of 320 points and stays in 1st place.
Average Points Per Game
1. GG Foulin' (266 Games) -20.79
2. Pgastan FC (250 Games) - 21.16
3. Oww Ming's Flagrants (247 Games) -21.09
4. F'N FLOPPERS (219 Game) -19.38
5. Arlington Assaulters (237 Games) -16.98
6. Gamblor (229 Games) - 17.29
7. Rodman'sWeddingDress (246 Games) - 16.00
8. Baltimore Hitsquad (233 Games) - 16.52
9. Ohsnappers!!! (221 Games) -10.66
League Average (239 Games) - 17.76
A few things to note on this metric. First, F'N FLOPPERS' average points per game remains unchanged at 19.38 compared to week 8, so they're fouling pretty consistently. Based off this Metric, Pgastan FC and Oww Ming's Flagrants are under performing. Whereas, GG Foulin' is over performing. This time the top 4 teams are all fouling above the league average.
Projected Final Standings:
Team Name - Traditional Method (Linear Regression)
1. GG Foulin' - 9,215 (9,215)
2. Pgastan FC - 8,815 (9,480)
3. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 8,685 (8,920)
4. F'N FLOPPERS - 7,075 (7,295)
5. Arlington Assaulters - 6,710 (6.940)
6. Gamblor - 6,600 (7,050)
7. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 6,560 (6,735)
8. Baltimore Hitsquad - 6,415 (6,660)
9. Ohsnappers!!! - 3,925 (4,190)
Based off the traditional regression method the standings are in order but let's take a look at linear regression to see where the teams are really projected to finish. Ohsnappers!!! is projected to finish last and it looks like Baltimore Hitsquad and Rodman'sWeddingDress are project4ed to finish 8th and 7th respectively. Gamblor is "out of place" in 6th right now as they are projected to finish in 5th and Arlington Assaulters is projected to finish in 6th. F'N FLOPPERS appears to be on track for 4th place. As for the top 3, Pgastan FC is projected to win with GG Foulin' in 2nd and Oww Ming in 3rd.
Points Graph:
Tier 3: Ohsnappers!!!
Tier 2: F'N FLOPPERS, Arlington Assaulters, Gamblor, Rodman'sWeddingDress, Baltimore Hitsquad
Tier 1: GG Foulin', Pgastan FC, Oww Ming's Flagrants
I think you can nitpick the tiers to something more granular but we essentially have just 3 tiers. Ohsnappers!!! still at the bottom, a huge jumble of 5 tams in the middle, and then the top 3. As has been the case the last few weeks, only tier 1 is fouling about league average. F'N FLOPPERS kind of pulled away from tier 2 into possible a separate tier but still pretty close. We'll see if they can widen their lead this week.
Well that's it for now.
Keep Foulin' Y'all!
FM
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