Monday, April 8, 2024

Week 24 Roundup: 6th Month Analysis Blowout!

With only 1 week left in the NFA season, I'm going to still do the monthly analysis post but I think I am going to switch some things up. I won't do the final projected standings like I usually do and instead I'll post each foul clubs regression graph instead. With that out of the way, let's get to it.

Stat Corrections:
- There were no stat corrections this week

Transactions
- Oww Ming's Flagrants added Fred VanVleet and dropped Benedict Mathurin on April 6th
- Oww Ming's Flagrants added Keon Ellis and dropped Marcus Smart on April 6th
- Oww Ming's Flagrants dropped Vince Williams Jr. on April 6th
- Oww Ming's Flagrants added Khris Middleton on April 6th
- Arlington Assaulters dropped Paolo Banchero on April 7th
- GG Foulin' added Bruno Fernando and dropped Richaun Holmes on April 7th
- Pgastan FC dropped Franze Wagner on April 7th
- Pgastan FC added Jonathan Kuminga and dropped Keegan Murray on April 7th 
- Pgastan FC added Dyson Daniels and dropped Vit Krejci on April 7th 
 

Standings as of April 8th, 2024
 
1. GG Foulin' - 11155 (+575)
2. Arlington Assaulters - 10390 (+330) 
3. Ohsnappers!!! - 9295 (+420) 
4. Pgastan FC - 9165 (+405)
5. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 9085 (+455)
6. F'N FLOPPERS - 8695 (+335)
7. Baltimore Hitsquad - 7890 (+175)
8. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 7320 (+215) 
9. Gamblor - 7225 (+220)  

<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week
 
Gamblor had a poor week of 220 points and stays in 9th place. Rodman'sWeddingDress had a poor week of 215 points and stays in 8th place. Baltimore Hitsquad had a horrible week of 175 points and stays in 7th place. F'N FLOPPERS had an average week of 335 points and stays in 6th place. Oww Ming's Flagrants had a great week of 455 points and stays in 5th place.
 
Pgastan FC had a great week of 405 points and stays in 4th place. Ohsnappers!!! had an average week of 420 points and stays in 3rd place. Arlington Assaulters had an average week of 330 points and stays in 2nd place. GG Foulin' had an excellent week nnd stays in 1st place. 

There was no movement in the standings this week and GG Foulin' and Arlington Assaulters have all but locked up 1st and 2nd respectively. However, the race for Bronze is wide open going into the final week and really anything can happen between Ohsnappers!!!, PFC, an Oww Ming. F'N FLOPPRS is pretty locked into 6th place and Baltimore Hitsquad is locked into 7th. The only other race is between Rodman'sWeddingDress and Gamblor to see who avoids last place. 

Average Points Per Game - Avg PPG (Last Month Avg PPG)
 
1. GG Foulin' (549 Games) - 20.32 (20.56) 
2. Arlington Assaulters (519 Games) - 20.02 (20.20) 
3. Ohsnappers!!! (488 Games) - 19.05 (19.43) 
4. Pgastan FC (509 Games) - 18.01 (18.92)
5. Oww Ming's Flagrants (477 Games) - 19.05 (18.40)
6. F'N FLOPPERS (496 Games) - 17.53 (17.79)
7. Baltimore Hitsquad (455 Games) - 17.34 (17.76)
8. Rodman'sWeddingDress (458 Games) - 15.98 (15.63) 
9. Gamblor (494 Games) - 14.63 (15.29)

League Average (494 Games) - 17.99 (18.22)  
 
This late into the season, the interesting thing about points per game is seeing how many games each foul club has played. GG Foulin' has had the most games played by far and it's no surprise that they are in first. Could be a mixture of luck in avoiding injuries but also could they have been maximizing games each week? We'd have to go to the source to find that out. 

This metric has Pgastan finishing in 5th place behind Oww Ming and just ahead of the league average. All the rest of the clubs are fouling to their average. 

Regression Graphs:

GG Foulin' 


GG Foulin' started out hotter than their mean but basically has been fouling along the line of best fit ever since week 7. 

Arlington Assaulters
 
 
 
Arlington Assaulters has been up and down all year but has peaked at the right time in the end. 
 
Ohsnappers!!!


Ohsnappers!!! has really peaked the last 5 weeks after underperforming for a good chunk of the season. 

Pgastan FC


Pgastan FC came out of the gate hot and was fouling above the mean for a good chunk of the season but has been in a terrible slump that started around week 16. 

Oww Ming's Flagrants


Oww Ming's Flagrants also started hot and stayed there for 12 or 13 weeks before coming back to Earth though they have recovered the last few weeks and is in position to trophy. 

F'N FLOPPERS


F'N FLOPPERS started out average then peaked around week 9 and had a 2nd peak around week 16 before coming back to the mean. 

Baltimore Hitsquad


Baltimore Hitsquad started at and below average before a surge around week 14 before coming back down ever since. 

Rodman'sWeddingDress


Rodman'sWeddingDress has been fouling around their mean most of the season with some peaks and troughs. 

Gamblor


Gamblor has also been fouling around their average for most of the season. 

Points Graph:


Tier 6: Rodman'sWeddingDress, Gamblor
Tier 5: Baltimore Hitsquad
Tier 4: F'N FLOPPERS
Tier 3: Ohsnappers!!!, Pgastan FC, Oww Ming's Flagrants
Tier 2: Arlington Assaulters
Tier 1: GG Foulin'
 
With no changes in the standings there were also no changes in the tiers. 
 
Well that's it for now.
 
Keep Foulin' Y"all!
 
FM

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