Week 16 Roundup: 4th Month Analysis Blowout!

Well it's that time again and these are always the longest posts so let's get right to it. 

Stat Corrections:

- There were no stat corrections this week.

Transactions

- Pgastan FC added Andre Drummond and dropped Fred VanVleet on February 7th 

- Oww Ming's Flagrants added Vince Williams Jr on February 9th

- Pgastan FC added Donte DiVincenzo and dropped Andre Drummond on February 11th 

Standings as of February 12th, 2024

 

1. GG Foulin' - 7465 (+340)

2. Arlington Assaulters - 6910 (+645) 

3. Pgastan FC - 6785 (+290) 

4. F'N FLOPPERS - 6385 (+370)   

5. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 6005 (+400)

6. Ohsnappers!!! - 5900 (+395) 

7. Baltimore Hitsquad - 5805 (+260)

8. Gamblor - 5180 (+285) 

9. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 4990 (+220)

<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week

 

Rodman'sWeddingDress had a poor week of 220 points and stays in last place. Gamblor had a poor week of 285 points and stays in 8th place. Baltimore Hitsquad had a poor week of 260 points and falls to 7th place. Ohsnappers!!! had an average week of 395 points and moves up to 6th place. Oww Ming's Flagrants had a great week of 400 points and stays in 5th place. 

 

F'N FLOPPERS had an average week of 370 points but stays in 4th place. Pgastan FC had a poor week of 290 points and falls to 3rd place. Arlington Assaulters had an amazing week of 645 points and moves up to 2nd place. GG Foulin' had an average week of 340 points and stays atop the leaderboard.

Average Points Per Game - Avg PPG (Last Month Avg PPG)

 

1. GG Foulin' (372 Games) - 20.07 (20.79) 

3. Arlington Assaulters (344 Games) - 20.09 (20.55)

2. Pgastan FC (349 Games) - 19.44 (21.50)

4. F'N FLOPPERS (338 Games) - 18.89 (18.31)

5. Oww Ming's Flagrants (330 Games) - 18.20 (19.58)

6. Ohsnappers!!! (323 Games) - 18.27 (17.51)

7. Baltimore Hitsquad (333 Games) - 17.41 (16.85)

8. Gamblor (332 Games) - 15.60 (15.97)

9. Rodman'sWeddingDress (332 Games) - 15.03 (15.20)

League Average (339 Games) - 18.11 (18.47) 

Some craziness to point out in this edition of points per game. First, GG Foulin' has played by far the most games out of any foul club clocking in at 372 games with Pgastan FC the next at 349 games. This likely means GG Foulin' has avoided substantial injuries or has managed their foul club to maximize games. Probably a combination of both. Another crazy thing this time is that Arlington Assaulters has had a pretty spectacular month in that they are actually leading in this metric with 20.09 PPG just ahead of GG Foulin'. Other than that, it looks like foul clubs are fouling to their potential. 

Projected Final Standings:
 
Team Name - Traditional Method (Linear Regression) [Previous Month's LR]  

 

1. GG Foulin' - 11,665 (11,960) [12,200] 

2. Arlington Assaulters - 10,795 (10,905) [11,370]

3. Pgastan FC - 10,600 (11,470) [12,185] 

4. F'N FLOPPERS -  9,975 (9,875) [9,955]

5. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 9,385 (10,015) [10,685] 
6. Ohsnappers!!! - 9,220 (8,910) [8,735]  

7. Baltimore Hitsquad -  7,795 (8,825) [8,445]

8. Gamblor - 8,095 (8,180) [8,230]

9. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 7,795 (7,985) [8,175]

 

According to this, Pgastan FC should still finish in 2nd place meaning Arlington Assaulters is projected to finish in 3rd. Oww Ming's Flagrants is projected to finish in 4th over F'N FLOPPERS by our linear regression model as well. The rest of the foul clubs are fouling to their potential based on our linear regression model.

Points Graph:

Tier 5: Gamblor, Rodman'sWeddingDress

Tier 4: Oww Ming's Flagrants, Ohsnappers!!!, Baltimore Hitsquad

Tier 3: F'N FLOPPERS

Tier 2: Arlington Assaulters, Pgastan FC

Tier 1: GG Foulin'

We've got some shakeups in the tiers this week. No change on the bottom tier, which is now tier 5, and tier 4 is the same except the Ohsnappers!!! is ahead of the Hitsquad. F'N FLOPPERS is now in a tier of their own in tier 3 which is clear in the graph. Tier 2 now has Arlington Assaulters in front ahead of Pgastan FC. Finally, GG Foulin' is the cream of the crop alone in tier 1.

Well that's it for now.

Keep Foulin' Y'all!

FM