Week 16 Roundup: 4th Month Analysis Blowout!

Well it's that time again so you know the drill. Let's get right to it. 

Stat Corrections
- There were no stat corrections this week

Transactions

- Ohsnappers!!! added P.J. Tucker and dropped Nick Richards on February 4th

- Pgastan FC added Precious Achiuwa on February 4th

Standings as of February 6th, 2023

 

1. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 8880 (+765)    

2. Pgastan FC - 8150 (+760) 

3. GG Foulin' - 8020 (+415)

4. Baltimore Hitsquad - 7465 (+610)

5. Gamblor - 7415 (+440)

6. Arlington Assaulters - 6620  (+360) 

7. F'N FLOPPERS - 6170 (+385)   

8. Ohsnappers!!! - 5045 (+365)

9. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 4990 (+140)

<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week

 

Rodman'sWeddingDress had a horrible week of 140 points and falls to last place. Ohsnappers!!! had an average week of 365 points and moves up to 8th place. F'N FLOPPERS had an average week of 385 points and stays in 7th place. Arlington Assaulters had an average week of 360 points and stays in 6th place. 

 

Gamblor had a great week of 440 points but falls to 5th place. Baltimore Hitsquad had an amazing week of 610 points and moves up to 4th place. GG Foulin' had a great week of 415 points and falls to 3rd place. Pgastan FC had an amazing week of 760 points and moves up to 2nd place. Oww MIng's Flagrants had an amazing week of 765 points and stays in 1st place. 

 

Average Points Per Game - Avg PPG (Last Month Avg PPG)

 

1. Oww Ming's Flagrants (354 Games) -  25.08 (24.19)

2. Pgastan FC (351 Games) - 23.22 (21.95) 

3. GG Foulin' (377 Games) - 21.27 (21.07)

4. Baltimore Hitsquad (357 Games) - 20.91 (21.46)

5. Gamblor (340 Games) -  21.81 (23.71) 

6. Arlington Assaulters (346 Games) - 19.13 (19.45) 

7. F'N FLOPPERS (319 Games) - 19.34 (19.17) 

8. Ohsnappers!!! (288 Games) -  17.52 (17.89) 

9. Rodman'sWeddingDress (304 Games) - 16.41 (16.69)

League Average (337 Games) - 20.52 (20.62) 

 

 First thing I noticed while putting this together was that the league average seems to be decreasing by about 0.10 every 4 weeks. The 2nd thing is GG Foulin' has easily played the most games which is why he's in the top 3 despite a lower average PPG. In fact, the top 4 should be Oww Ming, PFC, Gamblor, GG. The top 5 are fouling above the league average then there's a big drop between 5th and 6th.

Projected Final Standings:
 
Team Name - Traditional Method (Linear Regression) [Previous Month's LR]  

 

1. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 13,875 (13,255) [12,740]

2. Pgastan FC - 12,735 (12,275) [12,160] 

3. GG Foulin' - 12,530 (12,225) [12,025]

4. Baltimore Hitsquad - 11,665 (11,775) [12,070] 

5. Gamblor - 11,585 (11,985) [12,335] 

6. Arlington Assaulters - 10,345 (10,720) [11,010]

7. F'N FLOPPERS -  9,640 (9,585) [9,560] 

8. Ohsnappers!!! - 7,885 (8,140) [8,485]

9. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 7,795 (8,380) [8,815]

We'll start at the top this time as Oww Ming's Flagrants had a pretty incredible month. Seeing an increase of over 500 points in their linear regression projection. The traditional method has them crushing the all-time scoring record while the linear regression model has them falling just short. We shall see what happens, should be a fun last few months!

 

Aside from Oww Ming's Flagrants clearly projected to finish let's take a look at what else this metric tells us. PFC still projected to finish in 2nd, with GG in 3rd as well. Gamblor should finish in 4th but just barely ahead of Baltimore Hitsquad. After that, there are some pretty big drop offs but Rodman is still projected to finish in 8th. 

 

Points Graph:

 

 

Tier 6: Ohsnappers!!!, Rodman'sWeddingDress

Tier 5: F'N FLOPPERS

Tier 4: Arlington Assaulters

Tier 3: Baltimore Hitsquad, Gamblor 

Tier 2: Pgastan FC, GG Foulin'

Tier 1: Oww Ming's Flagrants

 

We're back to 6 tiers this week and they are pretty clearly defined again. Got a duel for 8th, then 2 loner tiers. That's followed by a duel for 4th and the duel for 2nd, followed by a loner tier at the top. 

 

Well that's it for now.

 

Keep Foulin' Y'all!

 

FM