Well, I didn't think I'd be writing this post a few weeks ago as I thought the season was only 20 weeks long but here we are. I'm not sure if I'll do everything I usually do for these posts with one week left to go but we'll see. Also, I was trying to think of a way to project % of winning the title but not really sure how to calculate that so if anyone knows, write in the comments below. Well, let's get right to it.
Stat Corrections:
- There were no stat corrections this week
Transactions:
- Oww Ming's Flagrants added Jakob Poeltl on May 3rd
- GG Foulin' added Kyle Anderson on May 6th
- Pgastan FC added Blake Griffin and dropped Bojan Bogdanovic on May 6th
- GG Foulin' dropped Isaiah Roby on May 6th
- GG Foulin' added Caris LeVert and dropped Dorian Finney-Smith on May8th
- Pgastan FC added Taj Gibson and dropped James Harden on May 9th
- Pgastan FC added Nerlens Noel and dropped DeAndre Hunter on May 0th
- Pgastan FC added Stanley Johnson and dropped Taj Gibson on May 9th
- GG Foulin' added LaMelo Ball on May 9th
Standings as of May 10th, 2021
1. GG Foulin' - 9350 (+455)
2. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 9330 (+730)
3. Pgastan FC - 8970 (+395)
4. Arlington Assaulters - 7485 (+405)
5. Baltimore Hitsquad - 7195 (+475)
6. F'N FLOPPERS - 6970 (+230)
7. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 6825 (+510)
8. Gamblor - 6120 (+305)
9. Ohsnappers!!! - 4740 (+435)
League Average - 7443
<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week
Ohsnappers!!! had a great week of 435 points but is firmly in last place. Gamblor had an average week of 305 points and stays in 8th place. Rodman'sWeddingDress had an excellent week of 510 points and stays in 7th place. F'N FLOPPERS had a poor week of 230 points and falls to 6th place. Baltimore Hitsquad had a great week of 405 points and moves up to 5th place.
Arlington Assaulters had a great week of 405 points and stays in 4th place. Pgastan FC had an average week of 395 points and stays in 3rd place. Oww Ming's Flagrants had an amazing week of 730 points and while they stay in 2nd place are right on the heels of GG Foulin' The aforementioned GG Foulin' had a great week of 455 points and stays in first place.... for now.
Average Points Per Game - Avg PPG (Last Month Avg PPG)
1. GG Foulin' (461 Games) - 20.28 (20.37)
2. Oww Ming's Flagrants (439 Games) - 21.25 (20.94)
3. Pgastan FC (430 Games) - 20.86 (21.17)
4. Arlington Assaulters (416 Games) - 17.99 (17.32)
5. Baltimore Hitsquad (424 Games) - 16.97 (16.83)
6. F'N FLOPPERS (374 Game) - 18.64 (20.15)
7. Rodman'sWeddingDress (433 Games) - 15.76 (16.22)
8. Gamblor (396 Games) - 15.45 (16.48)
9. Ohsnappers!!! (370 Games) - (12.81)
League Average (416 Games) - 17.78 (17.95)
Things of note here include the sheer amount of games by GG Foulin' who has the 3rd best PPG. Oww Ming's Flagrants now has the best PPG while Pgastan FC is in 2nd. F'N FLOPPERS has the 4th best but has fallen further behind in games played so that would explain their slip in the standings as of late. Though that's been the story of F'N FLOPPERS season, low games play4ed but relatively high PPG. Five teams are fouling above league average of 17.78 PPG.
Team Name - Traditional Method (Linear Regression) [Previous Month LR]
1. GG Foulin' - 9,820 (9,775) [9,275]
2. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 9,795 (9,400) [8,850]
3. Pgastan FC - 9,420 (9,630) [9,265]
4. Arlington Assaulters - 7,860 (7,515) [6,970]
5. Baltimore Hitsquad - 7,555 (7,285) [6,790]
6. F'N FLOPPERS - 7,320 (7,485) [7,220]
7. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 7,165 (7,045) [6,695]
8. Gamblor - 6,425 (6,850) [6,815]
9. Ohsnappers!!! - 4,975 (4,675) [4,310]
Even though last month's linear regression is to 20 weeks so it's undercounted I'm going to leave it in anyway. By this metric, GG Foulin' will finish first followed by Pgastan FC and in third Oww Ming's Flagrants. F'N FLOPPERS will finish ahead of Baltimore Hitsquad for 5th but that's about it in terms of projections.
The Final Week:
Adding a new section for this post with one week to go. GG Foulin' has 30 games scheduled this week, Oww Ming has 29, and Pgastan FC has 28. Oww Ming and GG are virtually tied going into the final week so it's pretty much a tossup between them. Pgastan FC has a shot but will need a 700 point week to do it. As I stated in my intro I don't know how to project percetnages for winning the title but I'll give it my guess here. GG Fooulin has a 49 % chance to win. Oww Ming Flagrant's has a 49% chance to win. Pgastan FC has a 2% chance to win.
For the rest of the standings. Ohsnappers!!! has 9th clinched. Gamblor has 8th clinched. Rodman'sWeddingDress, F'N FLOPPERS, and Baltimore Hitsquad appear to be trueling for 5th. Arlington Assautlers is in good position for 4th but the Hitsquad could catch him.
Points Graph:
Tier 5: Ohsnappers!!!
Tier 4: Gamblor
Tier 3: Baltimore Hitsquad, F'N FLOPPERS, Rodman'sWeddingDress
Tier 2: Arlington Assaulters
Tier 1: GG Foulin', Oww Ming's Flagrants, Pgastan FC
Basically have the same 3 basic tiers we have had all season thoguh Gamblor has fallen off the pack in hte middle tier so they get their own tier again. The top tier has gotten really interesting with Oww Ming's big week last week.
One week left to go with the title race wide open. Buckle up!
Well that's it for now.
Keep Foulin' Y'all!
FM
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