Monday, May 24, 2021

2020-2021 End of the Season Donkies!

Again, this was a shortened season due to the pandemic but that doesn't mean there won't be awards! There probably won't be any records broken but we shall see. Now, without further ado, let the show begin! 

The Roger Murdock Persistent Fouling Award (Most Personal Fouls):
Dillon Brooks finished with the most fouls at 237.

The Shawn Kemp Award (Most Foul Outs):
It's a tie between Karl-Anthony Towns and Mason Plumlee both with 7 Foul Outs

The Rasheed Wallace Legacy Award (Most Technical Fouls):
It's a tie between Luka Doncic and Dwight Howard both with 16 Technical Fouls
 
The Charles Oakley Award (Most Flagrant Fouls):
We have a tie between Dwight Howard and C.J. McCollum both with 4 Flagrant Fouls
 
The Dennis Rodman Award (Most Ejections):   
Kyle Lowry finished the season with 3 ejections.

Donkies by Position  Note Stat Lines below are: (Personal Fouls-Foul Outs-Techies-Ejections-Flagrants):

PG: Russell Westbrook with 1810 points (190-2-14-1-1)

SG: Dillon Brooks with 2065 points (237-6-1-0-1)

SF: Jae'Sean Tate with 1430 points (222-2-3-0-1)

PF: Draymond Green. with 1970 points (194-2-13-2-2)

C: Dwight Howard with 2220 points (200-1-16-2-4)

6th Man Award (Highest Point total for a fouler who went undrafted): Jae'Sean Tate with 1430 points (222-2-3-0-1)
 
Most Valuable Fouler (MVF): Dwight Howard with 2220 points (200-1-16-2-4)
 
So unlike last year's shortened season we did have 2 foulers crack the 2000 point mark this season. Looks like we had about 56 foulers crack 1000 points. Usually we get around 100 foulers above the 1000 point mark. Aside from the Small Forward position the Donkies by Position are actually pretty in-line with what we expect in a full season. 
 
So that wraps up the awards and with that we can put a bow on the 12 season of the National Foul Association.
 
Well that's it for now.
 
Keep Foulin' Y'all!
 
FM

Monday, May 17, 2021

2020-2021 NFA Season Recap

Usually, the season ends on a Wednesday so I'm writing this on a Thursday after my normal weekly post. But because of the Pandemic the season was shortened a little bit and it ended on a Sunday so this recap post will recap a full week of NFA action as usual just like. Without further ado, here's this season's recap. 

Stat Corrections:
- There were no stat corrections this week
 
Transactions:
- There were no transactions this week
 
Final 2020-2021 NFA Standings:
 
1. GG Foulin' -  9980 (+630)   
2. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 9660 (+330)    
3. Pgastan FC - 9325 (+355) 
4. Arlington Assaulters - 7895 (+410)   
5. Baltimore Hitsquad - 7480 (+285)   
6. F'N FLOPPERS - 7145 (+175)
7. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 7015 (+190)  
8. Gamblor - 6475 (+355)
9. Ohsnappers!!! - 5035 (+295)
 
League Average - 7779

<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week
 
We actually had no change in the standings in this final week. Ohsnappers!!! had a poor week of 295 points and stays in 9th place but does crack the 5000 point mark. Gamblor had an average week of 355 points and stays in 8th place. Rodman'sWeddingDress had a horrible week of 190 points but stays in 7th place. F'N FLOPPERS had a horrible week of 175 points and stays in 6th place. Baltimore Hitsquad had a poor week of 285 points and stayed in 5th place.

Arlington Assaulters had a great week of 410 points and stayed in 4th place. Pgastan FC had an average week of 355 points and stayed in 3rd place. Ow Ming's Flagrants had an average week of 330 points and stayed in 2nd place. Finally, GG Foulin' had an amazing week of 630 points and further solidify his championship but manages to fall 20 points short of 10,000. 

Here are the updated All-Time Standings: 

Team Foul Stats
Let's take a look at which foul club accumulated the most stats of each of the 5 stat categories as well as totals for the NFA in this abbreviated season.


Personal Fouls 
Total: 9,758
Leader: GG Foulin' with 1,360 fouls (13.9% of the league's fouls)
Low: Ohsnappers!!! with 843 fouls (8.6% share)

Foul Outs
Total: 79
Leader: Oww Ming's Flagrants with 15 (18.9% share)
Low: Ohsnappers!!! with 3 (3.7% share)

Technical Fouls
Total: 284
Leader: Oww Ming's Flagrants with 50 (17.6% share)
Low: Ohsnappers!!! with 12 (4.2% share)

Flagrant Fouls
Total: 39
Leader: Pgastan FC with 9 (23.0% share)
Low: Rodman'sWeddingDress and Ohsnappers!!! with 2 each (each with 5.1% share)

Ejections 
Total: 20
Leader: F'N FLOPPERS with 6 (30% share)
Low: Baltimore Hitsquad and Ohsnappers!!! each with 0 (each with a 0% share)

Again, like last year, there were no records set in this shortened season.
 
Personal Fouls
Pgastan FC: 1,766 (2009-2010) 

Foul Outs
Oww Ming's Flagrants 27 (2018-2019)

Technical Fouls
Oww Ming's Flagrants: 70 (2016-2017)

Flagrant Fouls
Pgastan FC: 12 (2016-2017)

Ejections
Pgastan FC: 8 (2012-2013)
 
Average Points Per Game: The order is the final standings.
 
 
1. GG Foulin' (488 Games) -  19.16
2. Oww Ming's Flagrants (458 Games) - 20.37
3. Pgastan FC (454 Games) - 19.76
4. Arlington Assaulters (439 Games) - 17.05
5. Baltimore Hitsquad (445 Games) - 16.17
6. F'N FLOPPERS (392 Games) - 17.78
7. Rodman'sWeddingDress (454 Games) - 15.03
8. Gamblor (415 Games) - 14.75
9. Ohsnappers!!! (391 Games) - 12.12
 
League Average (437 Games) -16.91
 
So by this metric, Oww Ming's Flagrants should have won the league followed by Pgastan FC in 2nd and GG Foulin' in 3rd. We can clearly see that GG Foulin' went for quantity over quality with part of his strategy and it seems to have paid off. Pgastan FC did get hurt by DNPs and injuries down the stretch in the 2nd half of the season after the dominating start they had. Also, F'N FLOPPERS should have finished in 4th place not 6th but they had 2nd lowest games played this season. Arlington Assaulters should have been in 5th and Baltimore Hitsquad should have been in 6th. The bottom three played out correctly. 
 
NFA Titles:
Pgastan FC (Formerly Donkey Engine and Steam Donkey FC) 4 - 2009-2010, 2012-2013, 2018-2019, 2019-2020
Rodman'sWeddingDress 3 -  2010-2011, 2011-2012, 2014-2015
Arlington Assaulters 2 - 2013-2014 and 2015-2016
GG Foulin' 2 - 2016-2017 and 2020-2021
Oww Ming's Flagrants 1 - 2017-2018

GG Foulin' gets their 2nd title in the NFA. We still have only had 5 teams ever win the title out of the 9 that have been in the Association for the last few years. This was the 12th season of the NFA.
 

Final Points Graph:

Tier 3: Ohsnappers!!!
Tier 2: Arlington Assaulters, Baltimore Hitsquad, F'N FLOPPERS, Rodman'sWeddingDress, Gamblor
Tier 1: GG Foulin, Oww Ming's Flagrants, Pgastan FC
 
The tiers separated a bit in the final weeks but we ultimately had 3 tiers the whole season as you can clearly see. Also, Arlington Assaulters was able to foul above league average with a strong last few weeks. So we had the top 4 teams fouling above league average when we only had 3 for most of the season. 

Check back in a few days for the End of the Season Donkies.

Well that's it for now.

Keep Foulin' Y'all!

FM

Monday, May 10, 2021

Week 20 Roundup: 5th Month Analysis Blowout!

Well, I didn't think I'd be writing this post a few weeks ago as I thought the season was only 20 weeks long but here we are. I'm not sure if I'll do everything I usually do for these posts with one week left to go but we'll see. Also, I was trying to think of a way to project % of winning the title but not really sure how to calculate that so if anyone knows, write in the comments below. Well, let's get right to it.

Stat Corrections:
- There were no stat corrections this week
 
Transactions:
- Oww Ming's Flagrants added Jakob Poeltl on May 3rd
- GG Foulin' added Kyle Anderson on May 6th
- Pgastan FC added Blake Griffin and dropped Bojan Bogdanovic on May 6th
- GG Foulin' dropped Isaiah Roby on May 6th
- GG Foulin' added Caris LeVert and dropped Dorian Finney-Smith on May8th
- Pgastan FC added Taj Gibson and dropped James Harden on May 9th
- Pgastan FC added Nerlens Noel and dropped DeAndre Hunter on May 0th
- Pgastan FC added Stanley Johnson and dropped Taj Gibson on May 9th
- GG Foulin' added LaMelo Ball on May 9th
 
Standings as of May 10th, 2021
 
1. GG Foulin' -  9350 (+455)   
2. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 9330 (+730)    
3. Pgastan FC - 8970 (+395) 
4. Arlington Assaulters - 7485 (+405)   
5. Baltimore Hitsquad - 7195 (+475)   
6. F'N FLOPPERS - 6970 (+230)
7. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 6825 (+510)  
8. Gamblor - 6120 (+305)
9. Ohsnappers!!! - 4740 (+435)
 
League Average - 7443

<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week
 
Ohsnappers!!! had a great week of 435 points but is firmly in last place. Gamblor had an average week of 305 points and stays in 8th place. Rodman'sWeddingDress had an excellent week of 510 points and stays in 7th place. F'N FLOPPERS had a poor week of 230 points and falls to 6th place. Baltimore Hitsquad had a great week of 405 points and moves up to 5th place.

Arlington Assaulters had a great week of 405 points and stays in 4th place. Pgastan FC had an average week of 395 points and stays in 3rd place. Oww Ming's Flagrants had an amazing week of 730 points and while they stay in 2nd place are right on the heels of GG Foulin' The aforementioned GG Foulin' had a great week of 455 points and stays in first place.... for now. 

Average Points Per Game - Avg PPG (Last Month Avg PPG)
 
1. GG Foulin' (461 Games) - 20.28 (20.37)
2. Oww Ming's Flagrants (439 Games) - 21.25 (20.94)
3. Pgastan FC (430 Games) - 20.86  (21.17)
4. Arlington Assaulters (416 Games) -  17.99 (17.32)
5. Baltimore Hitsquad  (424 Games) - 16.97 (16.83)
6. F'N FLOPPERS (374 Game) - 18.64 (20.15)
7. Rodman'sWeddingDress (433 Games) - 15.76 (16.22)
8. Gamblor (396 Games) -  15.45 (16.48) 
9. Ohsnappers!!! (370 Games) - (12.81)

League Average (416 Games) - 17.78 (17.95)

Things of note here include the sheer amount of games by GG Foulin' who has the 3rd best PPG. Oww Ming's Flagrants now has the best PPG while Pgastan FC is in 2nd. F'N FLOPPERS has the 4th best but has fallen further behind in games played so that would explain their slip in the standings as of late. Though that's been the story of F'N FLOPPERS season, low games play4ed but relatively high PPG. Five teams are fouling above league average of 17.78 PPG. 

Team Name - Traditional Method (Linear Regression) [Previous Month LR]

1. GG Foulin' - 9,820 (9,775) [9,275]
2. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 9,795 (9,400) [8,850] 
3. Pgastan FC - 9,420 (9,630) [9,265]
4. Arlington Assaulters - 7,860 (7,515) [6,970]  
5. Baltimore Hitsquad - 7,555 (7,285) [6,790]  
6. F'N FLOPPERS - 7,320 (7,485) [7,220]
7. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 7,165 (7,045) [6,695]
8. Gamblor - 6,425 (6,850) [6,815]  
9. Ohsnappers!!! - 4,975 (4,675) [4,310]
 
Even though last month's linear regression is to 20 weeks so it's undercounted I'm going to leave it in anyway. By this metric, GG Foulin' will finish first followed by Pgastan FC and in third Oww Ming's Flagrants. F'N FLOPPERS will finish ahead of Baltimore Hitsquad for 5th but that's about it in terms of projections. 
 
The Final Week:
 
Adding a new section for this post with one week to go. GG Foulin' has 30 games scheduled this week, Oww Ming has 29, and Pgastan FC has 28. Oww Ming and GG are virtually tied going into the final week so it's pretty much a tossup between them. Pgastan FC has a shot but will need a 700 point week to do it. As I stated in my intro I don't know how to project percetnages for winning the title but I'll give it my guess here. GG Fooulin has a 49 % chance to win. Oww Ming Flagrant's has a 49% chance to win. Pgastan FC has a 2% chance to win.   
 
For the rest of the standings. Ohsnappers!!! has 9th clinched. Gamblor has 8th clinched. Rodman'sWeddingDress, F'N FLOPPERS, and Baltimore Hitsquad appear to be trueling for 5th. Arlington Assautlers is in good position for 4th but the Hitsquad could catch him. 
 
Points Graph:
  
Tier 5: Ohsnappers!!!
Tier 4: Gamblor
Tier 3: Baltimore Hitsquad, F'N FLOPPERS, Rodman'sWeddingDress
Tier 2: Arlington Assaulters
Tier 1: GG Foulin', Oww Ming's Flagrants, Pgastan FC
 
Basically have the same 3 basic tiers we have had all season thoguh Gamblor has fallen off the pack in hte middle tier so they get their own tier again. The top tier has gotten really interesting with Oww Ming's big week last week. 

One week left to go with the title race wide open. Buckle up!

Well that's it for now.

Keep Foulin' Y'all!

FM