We are now 2 months into the season so that means it's time for another monthly analysis post! This one will be a little longer than usual as Yahoo! finally got their act together and made a bunch of stat corrections. Let's get right into it!
Stat Corrections:
- James Harden was given a techy retroactive to January 4th. GG Foulin' did not have him active that week so he does not gain 40 points.
- DeMarcus Cousins was given 2 techies retroactive to January 4th. Baltimore Hitsquad did not have him active that week so he does not gain 80 points.
- DeMarcus Cousins was given an ejection retroactive to January 4th.
Baltimore Hitsquad did not have him active that week so he does not gain 100 points.
- Luka Doncic was given a techy retroactive to January 4th. Arlington Assaulters had him active that week so he gains 40 points.
- Draymond Green lost a techy retroactive to January 21st. GG Foulin' had him active that week so he loses 40 points.
- Dwight Howard had a techy given to him retroactive to January 25th. Pgastan FC had him active that week so he gains 40 points.
- Josh Jackson had a flagrant given to him retroactive to January 25th. Pgastan had him active that week so he gains 80 points.
- Josh Jackson had an ejection given to him retroactive to January 25th. Pgastan FC had him active that week so he gains 100 points.
- Marvin Bagley had 2 techies given to him retroactive to February 1st. Oww Ming's Flagrants had him active that week so he gains 80 points.
- Marvin Bagley had an ejection given to him retroactive to February 1st. Oww Ming's Flagrants had him active that week so he gains 100 points.
Whew, that's a lot of stat corrections including the Marvin Bagley DTE miss that no Foul Club manager seemed to catch. So let's recap.
GG Foulin' - Loses 40 points
Arlington Assaulters - Gains 40 points
Pgastan FC - Gains 220 points
Oww Ming's Flagrants - Gains 180 points.
Baltimore Hitsquad - No change in points but that Bench DTEs gotta hurt
Transactions:
- GG Foulin' dropped Naz Reid on February 13th
- Gamblor added Hamidou Diallo and dropped Kevin Durant on February 14th
- Pgastan FC added Cam Reddish and dropped Cole Anthony on February 14th
Standings as of February 15th, 2021
1. Pgastan FC - 4000 (+495)
2. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 3600 (+560)
3. GG Foulin' - 3580 (+560)
4. F'N FLOPPERS - 2985 (+265)
5. Gamblor - 2915 (+295)
6. Arlington Assaulters - 2875 (+420)
6. Baltimore Hitsquad - 2875 (+380)
8. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 2715 (+355)
9. Ohsnappers!!! - 1720 (+185)
<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week
Ohsnappers!!! continues occupying the basement with a horrible week of 185 points. Rodman'sWeddingDress had an average week of 355 points and stays in 8th place. Baltimore Hitsquad had an average week of 380 points and moves from sole possession of 6th place to a tie. Arlington Assaulters had a great week of 420 points and moves from 7th place to a tie in 6th place. Gamblor had a poor week of 295 points and stays in 5th place.
F'N FLOPPERS had a poor week of 265 points and stays in 4th place. GG Foulin' had an excellent week of 560 points and stays in 3rd place. He actually scored 600 points this past week but lost the 40 points in stat corrections mentioned above. Oww Ming's Flagrants had an excellent week of 560 points and stays in 2nd place. Of course, take away the 180 points from stat corrections and he only scored 380. Finally, Pgastan FC had a great week of 495 points and stays atop the standings. Take away his 220 points from stat corrections and he only scored 275 points, most likely his worst week of the season. He also did not have a single performance foul this past week.
Average Points Per Game
1. Pgastan FC (174 Games) - 22.99
2. Oww Ming's Flagrants (170 Games) -21.18
3. GG Foulin' (183 Games) -19.56
4. F'N FLOPPERS (154 Game) -19.38
5. Gamblor (161 Games) - 18.11
6. Arlington Assaulters (168 Games) -17.11
6. Baltimore Hitsquad (170 Games) - 16.91
8. Rodman'sWeddingDress (177 Games) - 15.34
9. Ohsnappers!!! (159 Games) -10.82
League Average (168 Games) - 17.93
So this is pretty interesting, in that by this metric no team is over performing or under performing. The top 5 teams (Gamblor and above) are all getting more average points per game than the league average.
Projected Final Standings:
Team Name - Traditional Method (Linear Regression)
1. Pgastan FC - 10,000 (10,015)
2. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 9,000 (8,840)
3. GG Foulin' - 8,950 (8,780)
4. F'N FLOPPERS - 7,460 (7,640)
5. Gamblor - 7,285 (7,075)
6. Arlington Assaulters - 7,185 (7,100)
6. Baltimore Hitsquad - 7,185 (6,955)
8. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 6,785 (6,560)
9. Ohsnappers!!! - 4,300 (4,365)
As with the points per game metric above, it looks like no team is over performing or under performing but there are some interesting things. Let's take a look at the linear regression, the numbers in the parentheses as those are more accurate. Ohsnappers!!! projected final score actually remains unchanged at 4,365. It looks like Baltimore Hitsquad is projected to finish just below Arlington Assaulters for 7th place despite being tied for 6th as of this writing. Oww Ming's Flagrants looks to edge out GG Foulin' for 2nd place based on linear regression. Finally, Pgastan FC is still projected to be the only team to finish above 10,000 points, but just barely.
Points Graph:
Tier 4: Ohsnapppers!!!
Tier 3: Rodman'sWeddingDress, Baltimore Hitsquad, Arlington Assaulters, Gamblor, F'N FLOPPERS
Tier 2: GG Foulin', Oww Ming's Flagrants
Tier 1: Pgastan FC
So the big change is the large grouping in tier 3. I thought about a few things such as another tier or a tier 3B and tier 3A but in the end I decided to just group them all in one tier as teams 4th through 8th are only separated by 270 points. The graph really shows the jumble of teams in the middle of the league. Rodman'sWeddingDress has a little more of a gap to the person in front as does F'N FLOPPERS to the person behind than the rest of 5th, 6th, and 7th but still I think these tiers are appropriate.
Well, that's it for now.
Keep Foulin' Y'all!
FM
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