Monday, January 25, 2021

Week 5 Roundup: Bench Strength Edition

Well over the last few weeks a few Foul Club GMs have brought to my attention the lack of waiver wire strength and how hard it is to improve one's foul club post-draft (and basically post-week 2 of the NFA season). I mean I even posted about this in the Week 2 Roundup. It was brought up to me again last week by another GM and I had mentioned what I heard other GMs discussing. 
 
I think there  are basically 2 options that we could do to adjust rosters that have come up during the last few weeks:
 
1. Decrease the number of bench spots from 3 to 2 or 1
2. Eliminate the UTIL positions to have only a starting 5. 

Now, I think option 1 is the best if we chose to pursue any of this. If we go with option 2 and eliminate the UTIL spots then it becomes harder compare NFA seasons. Now granted the lockout and hte pandemic shortened season do not have the normal 82 games so maybe this isn't that big of a deal but one thing's for certain that it would lock Rodman'sWeddingDress as the all-time highest scoring NFA season in place. I think NFA teams have a right to challenge that record. 

So what I am going to do now is go through each team's roster as of this post and look at their current Yahoo Rank for their 3 bench players to see if people are hoarding any good players:

Current Rank of Their 3 Bench Players:
 
1. Pgastan FC -35, 40, 50 (All of his bench players are injured and this isn't their normal bench. Normal bench for PFC would be 24, 39, 135)
2. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 17, 54, 55 (Dillon Brooks on bench because of COVID postponements. Oubre is ranked 41 who was on their bench yesterday)
3. GG Foulin' - 12, 27, 42
4. F'N FLOPPERS - 45, 145, 206
5. Baltimore Hitsquad -29, 37, 138
6. Gamblor -136, 165, 199
7. Arlington Assaulters -18, 21, 25 (Booker is injured an ranked 18th so his replacement is ranked 207 which would be more accurate)
8. Rodman'sWeddingDress -47, 89, 128
9. Ohsnappers!!! -13, 34 (Has empty bench spot, probably not checking their team)

So I started writing this on Friday and thought it was a good idea. However, I didn't think about injuries and COVID causing disruptions to Foul Clubs starting lineups so this may not be the best snapshot but still you can see some decent foulers on benches out there. Let the debate begin!

Now, let's get to this week's post. 

Stat Corrections
- DeAndre Hunter had a Personal Foul taken away from him retroactive to January 18th. Pgastan FC had him active that week so he loses 5 points.

Transactions
- Arlington Assaulters added Terrence Ross and dropped Jarrett Allen on January 21st
- Oww Ming's Flagrants added Fred VanVleet and dropped JJ Reddick on January 21st
- GG Foulin' added Keldon Johnson on January 24th
- Baltimore Hitsquad added Damion Lee and dropped CJ McCollum on January 24th
- Pgastan FC added Garrett Temple and dropped PJ Washington on January 24th

Standings as of January 25th, 2021
 
1. Pgastan FC - 2510 (+490) 
2. GG Foulin' - 2205 (+605)
3. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 2070 (+360)  
4. Arlington Assaulters - 1840 (+590)
5. F'N FLOPPERS - 1755 (+230) 
6. Baltimore Hitsquad - 1635 (+250)
7. Gamblor - 1605 (+320)
7. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 1605 (+555)
9. Ohsnappers!!! - 1080 (+195)

<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week
 
Ohsnappers!!! had a poor week of 195 points and stays in 9th place but does finally make it past the 1000 point threshold. Rodman'sWeddingDress had an excellent week of 555 points but only makes it to a tie for 7th place from 8th place. Gamblor had a an average week of 320 points and falls from 6th to a tie for 7th. Baltimore Hitsquad had a poor week of 250 points and falls one spot to 6th place F'N FLOPPERS had a poor week of 230 points and falls from 4th to 5th.

Arlington Assaulters had an excellent week of 590 points and moves all the way from 7th place to 4th place. This was done because of Mason Plumlee's week for the ages of 4 straight foul outs! That's a stat line of 365 (25-4-0-0-0). Not sure we've ever seen anything like that in NFA history for one fouler. We've had some big weeks before for a single fouler but that's usually due to an ejection or one big night not 4-straight games of production like this.

Oww Ming's Flagrants had an average week of 360 points and falls from 2nd to 3rd place. GG Foulin' had an amazing week of 605 points and moves up to 2nd from 3rd place. Finally, Pgastan FC remains in 1st place after a great week of 490 points. 

Points Graph:
 
Tier 5: Ohsnappers!!!
Tier 4: Rodman'sWeddingDress, Gamblor, Baltimore Hitsquad
Tier 3: F'N FLOPPERS, Arlington Assaulters
Tier 2: Oww Ming's Flagrants, GG Foulin'
Tier 1: Pgastan FC
 
Looks like we had some change in the tiers. The graph shows 5 distinct tiers though if you were to look at the standings in tabular form you might break it down slightly different. I think you could argue that Tier 4 and 3 could be combined to one tier as well but there's some difference between the tiers when looking at it on a graph.  

Well that's it for now

Keep Foulin' Y'all!

FM

Monday, January 18, 2021

Week 4 Roundup: 1st Month Analysis Blowout!

Well, we've made it through 1 month of NFA action and hopefully we can keep it going. Though COVID seems to be starting to disrupt the league schedule with tons of postponements as of late. We'll see if the Association can get their act together and this becomes more akin to what happened in MLB this year as opposed to having to cancel the season or something. Well since this is usually a long post I'm going to get right into it. 

Stat Corrections
- There were no stat corrections this week

 
Transactions
- Oww Ming's Flagrants added Victor Oladipo on January 11th
- Gamblor added DeAndre Jordan and dropped Thomas Bryant on January 11th
- Oww Ming's Flagrants dropped Victor Oladipo on January 14th
- Baltimore Hitsquad added Chris Boucher and dropped Ian Mahinmi on January 14th
- GG Foulin' added Naz Reid on January 15th
- Pgastan FC added PJ Washington and dropped Cam Reddish on January 17th
- GG Foulin' added Willie Cauley-Stein and dropped Aaron Holiday on January 17th
 
Standings as of January 18th, 2021
 
1. Pgastan FC - 2020 (+480) 
2. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 1710 (+285) 
3. GG Foulin' - 1600 (+235)
4. F'N FLOPPERS - 1525 (+280) 
5. Baltimore Hitsquad - 1385 (+370)
6. Gamblor - 1285 (+150)
7. Arlington Assaulters - 1250 (+155)
8. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 1050 (+200)
9. Ohsnappers!!! - 885 (+205)

<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week
 
Ohsnappers!!! had a poor week of 205 points and stays in last place. Rodman'sWeddingDress had a poor week of 200 points and remains in 8th place. Arlington Assaulters had a horrible week of 155 points and falls from 6th to 7th place. Gamblor had a horrible week of 150 points and falls from 5th to 6th place. Baltimore Hitsquad scored 370 points for the 2nd week in the and catapults from 7th to 5th place. 
 
F'N FLOPPERS had a poor week of 280 points and stays in 4th place. GG Foulin' had a poor week of 235 points and stays in 3rd place. Oww Ming's Flagrants had a poor week of 285 points and stays in 2nd place. Finally, Pgastan FC had a great week of 480 points and remains in 1st place. 
 
 
Average Points Per Game
 
1. Pgastan FC (88 Games) - 17.50
2. Oww Ming's Flagrants (85 Games) -16.76
3. GG Foulin' (86 Games) - 15.87
4. F'N FLOPPERS (73 Game) -17.05
5. Baltimore Hitsquad (82 Games) - 12.38
6. Gamblor (77 Games) - 14.74
7. Arlington Assaulters (72 Games) - 15.21
8. Rodman'sWeddingDress (80 Games) - 10.63
9. Ohsnappers!!! (79 Games) - 8.61

League Average (80 Games) - 14.31

According to this metric Pgastan FC is still leading the league with 17.50 points per game but F'N FLOPPERS should be in 2nd place averaging 17.05 points per game but only has 73 games playeed. Oww Ming and GG Foulin' would be in 3rd and 4th respectively. Arlington Assaulters should be in 5th followed by Gamblor. Baltimore Hitsquad is over performing right now and could be susceptible to reverting back to the mean as this metric has him in 7th. Rodman'sWeddingDress and Ohsnappers!! are in the correct places in the league standings according to this metric.

Projected Final Standings:
 
Team Name - Traditional Method (Linear Regression)  

1. Pgastan FC - 10,100 (10,100)
2. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 8,550 (9,055)
3. GG Foulin' - 8,000 (8,560)
4. F'N FLOPPERS - 7,625 (7,535)
5. Baltimore Hitsquad - 6,925 (6,715)
6. Gamblor - 6,425 (6,825)
7. Arlington Assaulters - 6,250 (6,645)
8. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 5,250 (5,475)
9. Ohsnappers!!! - 4,425 (4,365)

Because we have 20 weeks this season and Pgastan FC had 2020 points to end week 4 we get the same score for both methods. He's the only one anywhere near 10,000 points projected, though that will certainly come down. The only team "out of place" if you will seems to be Baltimore Hitsquad who is projected to finish in 6th as opposed to 5th based of linear regression. 

Points Graph:
 
Tier 5: Ohsnappers!!!
Tier 4: Rodman'sWeddingDress
Tier 3: Arlington Assaulters, Gamblor, Baltimore Hitsquad
Tier 2: F'N FLOPPERS, GG Foulin', Oww Ming's Flagrants
Tier 1: Pgastan FC
 
Time will tell if these tiers hold up but that's how I am seeing the breakdown based on the points graph. 
 
Well that's it for now.
 
Keep Foulin' Y'all!
 
FM

Monday, January 11, 2021

Week 3 Roundup: Yahoo Drops The Ball Edition

Well, Yahoo has already donked it with some performance fouls disappearing after the HOU/DAL game a week ago. Cousins' is missing 2 techies and 1 ejection, Harden is missing 1 techy, Willie Cauley-Stein is missing 1 techy, Luka Doncic is missing 1 techy, and James Johnson is missing 1 flagrant. I actually emailed Yahoo! last Tuesday and got no response and emailed them again yesterday and still have received no response or even an automatic email about my request for customer service. Hopefully, the first batch of stat corrections include these performance fouls. 

Anyway, let's get to the current post.

Performance Foul Watch
 
Oww Ming's Flagrants - Foul Out and Techy on 12/23/20
Baltimore Hitsquad -Techy on 12/23/20
Pgastan FC - Techy on 12/23/20
Rodman'sWeddingDress - Techy on 12/27/20
GG Foulin' - Techy on 12/23/20
Ohsnappers!!! - Techy on 1/5/2021
F'N FLOPPERS - Foul Out 12/29/20
Gamblor - Foul Out 12/26/20
Arlington Assaulters - 2 Techies and a Foul Out on 12/26/20

First Ejection - GG Foulin' 12/31/20
First Flagrant - Pgastan FC on 12/27/20
First Techy - Oww Ming's Flagrants, Baltimore Hitsquad, Pgastan FC, and GG Foulin' on 12/23/20
First Foul Out - Oww Ming's Flagrants on 12/23/20

The performance foul watch is now completed since Ohsnappers!!! finally gets on the board. Just in time for the week 4 analysis blowout too!

Stat Corrections
- There were no stat corrections this week
 
Transactions
- Pgastan FC added Cam Reddish and dropped Killian Hayes on January 6th
- Arlington Assaulters added Josh Richardson on January 8th
- Pgastan FC added Royce O'Neale and dropped Dwight Powell on January 8th
- Arlington Assaulters added Cedi Osman and dropped Josh Richardson on January 9th
- Arlington Assaulters added Jarrett Allen and dropped Blake Griffin on January 9th
- GG Foulin' dropped Naz Reid on January 10th
- GG Foulin' added Aaron Holiday and dropped Aron Baynes on January 10th
 
Standings as of January 11th, 2021
 
1. Pgastan FC - 1540 (+525) 
2. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 1425 (+420) 
3. GG Foulin' - 1365 (+355)
4. F'N FLOPPERS - 1245 (+585)
5. Gamblor - 1135 (+445)
6. Arlington Assaulters - 1095 (+435)
7. Baltimore Hitsquad - 1015 (+370)
8. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 850 (+255)
9. Ohsnappers!!! - 680 (+275)

<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week
 
Well so much for those tiers that looked like they were forming after week 1. Though, that's why I wait until week 4 to do my first big analysis post. And to my defense I said it was weird to get tiers in week 1. But the tiers have basically disappeared and teams seem to be evenly spaced out. Like 1st is 100 points ahead of 2nd who's 100 points ahead of 3rd, and so on.  
 
Ohsnappers!!! had a poor week of 275 points and remains in last place. Rodman'sWeddingDress had a poor week of 255 points and stays in 8th. Baltimore Hitsquad had an average week of 370 points and stays in 7th. Arlington Assaulters had a great week of 435 points but falls to 6th place. Gamblor had a great week of 445 points and falls to 5th place.
 
F'N FLOPPERS had an excellent week of 585 points and moves up from 5th to 4th. GG Foulin' had an average week of 355 and drops to 3rd from 2nd. Oww Ming's Flagrants had a great week of 420 points and moves up to 2nd from 3rd. Pgastan FC had an excellent week of 525 and stays in 1st. 

Well that's it for now.

Keep Foulin' Y'all!

FM
 

Monday, January 4, 2021

Week 2 Roundup: Depleted Waiver Wire Edition

We're only in week2 yet my sources are telling me that Foul Club GMs are already complaining about the lack of talent on the waiver wire. We actually had 14 transactions this past week which may be a record but the talent is pretty thin. Though Ohsnappers!!! made some questionable drops. Though I guess this is a testament to the quality of GMs now running Foul Clubs in the NFA. My sources also tell me that one GM even raised the idea of roster expansion or contraction to deal with the lack of talent on the waiver wire but that idea was immediately shot down by NFA commish. 
 
With that intro out of the way, let's get to this week's post!

Performance Foul Watch
 
Oww Ming's Flagrants - Foul Out and Techy on 12/23/20
Baltimore Hitsquad -Techy on 12/23/20
Pgastan FC - Techy on 12/23/20
Rodman'sWeddingDress - Techy on 12/27/20
GG Foulin' - Techy on 12/23/20
Ohsnappers!!! -
F'N FLOPPERS - Foul Out 12/29/20
Gamblor - Foul Out 12/26/20
Arlington Assaulters - 2 Techies and a Foul Out on 12/26/20

First Ejection - GG Foulin' 12/31/20
First Flagrant - Pgastan FC on 12/27/20
First Techy - Oww Ming's Flagrants, Baltimore Hitsquad, Pgastan FC, and GG Foulin' on 12/23/20
First Foul Out - Oww Ming's Flagrants on 12/23/20

Out of the 3 remaining blanks from last week 2 of them got filled. We had our first ejection by GG Foulin' and F'N FLOPPERS got their first performance foul as well. All we are waiting on is Ohsnappers!!! to get a performance foul.

Stat Corrections
- There were no stat corrections this week
 
Transactions
- GG Foulin' added Naz Reid and dropped Thomas Bryant on December 28th
- Arlington Assaulters added Jamal Murray and dropped Spencer Dinwiddie on December 29th
- Pgastan FC added De'Andre Hunter and dropped Harry Giles on December 30th
- Gamblor added Thomas Bryant on December 31st
- Ohsnappers!!! added Cameron Payne and dropped James Harden on January 1st
- Ohsnappers!!! added JaVale McGee and dropped Damien Lillard on January 1st
- Ohsnappers!!! added Myles Turner and dropped Luka Doncic on January 1st
- GG Foulin' dropped Shake Milton on January 1st
- GG Foulin' added James Harden and dropped Hamidou Dallo on January 1st
- Oww Ming's Flagrants added JJ Redick on January 2nd
- Arlington Assaulters added Bismack Biyombo and dropped Hasan Whiteside on January 3rd
- Pgastan FC added Dwight Powell and dropped Precious Achiuwa on January 3rd
- Arlington Assaulters added Luka Doncic and dropped Jamal Murray on January 3rd
- Rodman'sWeddingDress added Joe Harris and dropped Joe Ingles on January 3rd

Standings as of January 4th, 2021
 
1. Pgastan FC - 1015 (+595) 
2. GG Foulin' - 1010 (+685)
3. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 1005 (+550) 
4. Gamblor - 690 (+380)
5. Arlington Assaulters - 660 (+300)
5. F'N FLOPPERS - 660 (+515)
7. Baltimore Hitsquad - 645 (+450)
8. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 595 (+325)
9. Ohsnappers!!! - 405 (+250)

<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week
 
I almost titled this post differently and that would have been something to the extent of "Tiers Formed Already Edition?" We are only 2 weeks in and we the Foul Clubs appear to be separating in to their respective tiers already. I'll officially designate tiers once we get to week 4 and I start putting the graphs in but here's what they seem to be now. Basically you got Ohsnappers! at the bottom. Then 8th through 4th in the middle and the cream of the crop are the top 3. The top 3 of course having finished 1, 2, 3 in that order the last 2 seasons. 
 
This also ties the record set in 16-17 and 19-20 for fastest to have 3 teams to 1000 points which was just after 2 weeks of NFA action. There are some seasons where by week 2 no one has cracked 1000 points with NFA blog records dating back to 2014-15.

Now to my normal write-up regurgitating the standings. Ohsanppers!!! had a poor week of 250 points and drops to last place from 8th. Rodman'sWeddingDress had an average week of 325 points and falls from 6th to 8th. Baltimore Hitsquad had a great week of 450 points and stays in 7th place.F'N FLOPPERS had an excellent week of 515 points and goes from 9th to a tie in 5th place. Arlington Assaulters had an average week of 300 points and drops from 3rd to a tie in 5th. Gamblor had an average week of 380 points moves up from 5th to 4th.

Oww Ming's Flagrants had an excellent week of 550 points and drops from 1st to 3rd. GG Foulin' had an amazing week of 685 points and moves up from 4th to 2nd place. Pgastan FC had an excellent week of 595 points and moves from 2nd to 1st place. 
 
Again it will be intersting to see if these tiers hold up for the whole season. 

Well that's it for now.

Keep Foulin' Y'all!

FM