Monday, November 18, 2019

Week 4 Roundup: First Month Analysis Edition

So, at the end of last season, I added a few more analysis metrics to the spreadsheet in which I make the graph. I don't think it's worth posting every week like I do with the graph but I got the idea to post it every 4 weeks or once a month. So, as we have reached the 4th week in the season, in addition to posting the first points graph (which I will post every week) I am going to post a few of the other analytics metrics I have been keeping as well. Those will be posted at the end of the post since it wouldn't make sense to post them before the standings portion.

As for other news. Yahoo is still donking as Pgastan FC is still missing a techy from Randle. So with all that out of the way, lets get to this week's post!

Stat Corrections:
- Russell Westbrook had a personal foul given to him retroactive to November 9th. Arlington Assaulters had him active that week so he gains 5 points.


Transactions:
- Oww Ming's Flagrants added Jabari Parker and dropped Ja Morant on November 14th
- Pgastan FC added Tobias Harris and dropped Jaxson Hayes on November 16th
- F'N FLOPPERS added Cam Reddish and dropped Kemba Walker on November 16th
- F'N FLOPPERS added Meyers Leonard and dropped Anthony Davis on November 16th
- F'N FLOPPERS added Treveon Graham and dropped Jahlil Okafor on November 16th
- F'N FLOPPERS added DeAndre Bembry and dropped Kawhi Leonard on November 16th
- F'N FLOPPERS added Gary Harris and dropped Kyrie Irving on November 16th
- F'N FLOPPERS added Nerlens Noel and dropped Damien Lillard on November 16th
- F'N FLOPPERS added Luka Doncic and dropped Terrence Ferguson on November 17th
- Arlington Assaulters added Zach LaVine on November 18th (This was done before Yahoo's deadline of Midnight Pacific Time so it is good for this week)


Standings as of November 18th, 2019:

1. GG Foulin' - 2635 (+745)
2. Pgastan FC - 2275 (+475)
3. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 2110 (+625)
4. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 1720 (+455)
5. Ohsnappers!!! - 1640 (+400)
6. Baltimore Hitsquad - 1615 (+405)
6. Gamblor - 1615 (+245)
8. Arlington Assaulters - 1505 (+335)
9. F'N FLOPPERS - 960 (+165)

<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week

Being 4 weeks into the season we are also able to see some patterns in the standings and teams have begun to separate themselves in different tiers. F'N FLOPPERS is clearly the worst team in the league (this is what happens when you miss the NFA draft). They are the only foul club to not make it to 1000 points as of yet. They had a horrible week of only 165 points but let's see if the roster moves they made help out.

In the next tier from the bottom (I guess this would be tier 2) we have 5 foul clubs bunched up between 4th and 8th. Arlington Assaulters is still in 8th place after an average week of 335 points. My sources tell me their president was on their honeymoon so that may be why they had just an average week but you would think they would have more than just one person in their front office.

Gamblor falls from 4th place to a tie in 6th place after a poor week of 245 points. Also tied in 6th place is Baltimore Hitsquad who had a great week of 405 points and moves up 1 spot from 7th. My sources tell me their club president had a chance to watch the Jazz/Nets game in Salt Lake City last week for some quality foul scouting but passed on the opportunity. We'll see if that comes back to haunt them this week or later on in the season. He could have discovered the next great fouler. You always have to watch some fouling if you get the chance especially if you don't live in a city with a first division foul club.

Ohsnappers!!! had a great week of 400 points and moves from 6th place to 5th place. Rounding out the 2nd tier of Foul Clubs is Oww Ming's Flagrants who also had a great week of 455 points and moves from 5th place to 4th place.

In the 1st tier we have Rodman'sWeddingDress who had an amazing week of 625 points but stays in 3rd place. In 2nd place we have Pgastan FC who had a great week of 475 points but stays in 2nd place. And finally, in 1st place we have GG Foulin' who had an amazing week of 745 points which makes it back to back weeks of 700+ points. Right now Pgastan FC and Rodman'sWeddingDress are in the same tier as GG Foulin' but if he can keep this up he may separate himself from the field.

Average Points Per Game:
The first metric I am going to post is Average Points per game in the order of the current standings

1. GG Foulin' (82 Games) - 32.13
2. Pgastan FC (81 Games) - 28.09
3. Rodman'sWeddingDress (85 Games) - 24.82
4. Oww Ming's Flagrants (83 Games) - 20.72
5. Ohsnappers!!! (82 Games) - 20.00
6. Baltimore Hitsquad (85 Games) - 19.00
6. Gamblor (72 Games) - 22.43
8. Arlington Assaulters  (81 Games)- 18.58
9. F'N FLOPPERS (79 Games) - 12.15

Most of the average points is to be expected as you would think it should go be decreasing from 1st to 9th but one foul club stands out and that would be Gamblor. Gamblor should be in 4th place by average points per game but as you can see they have played 9 to 13 games fewer than the Foul Clubs ahead of them so if they can make up those games they should climb the standings.

Projected Final Standings:
Below are the projected final standings as we are 15.7% done with the season. This will be fun to come back to each month and at the end of the season. Projected final standings are rounded to the closest 5 points (i.e. closest personal foul).

1. GG Foulin' - 16750
2. Pgastan FC - 14460
3. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 13415
4. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 10935
5. Ohsnappers!!! - 10425
6. Baltimore Hitsquad - 10265
6. Gamblor - 10265
8. Arlington Assaulters - 9570
9. F'N FLOPPERS - 6100

So a few things to note. As this stands, F'N FLOPPERS is on pace to destroy the all-time low score in an NFA Season which was set by Hoopin' Sabercats at 6,670 set in 2012-2013. Likewise, both Pgastan FC and GG Foulin' are on pace to break Rodman'sWeddingDress all-time high of 13,470 set in 2010-2011 with Rodman'sWeddingDress getting close to his own record as well.

Points Graph:
  
I hope you enjoyed the first month analysis blowout! The plan is to do this every 4-weeks and see what the trends say then, even though I update all of this metrics when I update the graph it just doesn't make sense to post it every week. If anyone has any ideas of metrics to add feel free to let me know.

Well that's it for now.

Keep Foulin' Y'all!

FM

 


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