Thursday, April 18, 2019

NFA 2018-2019 Champion Interview

As I mentioned in the End of the Season Donkies, I was able to catch up with the GM of Pgastan FC for an interview to reflect on his championship. Enjoy!

Foul Master (FM): After being one of the NFA founding members and winning 2 of the first 4 titles including the very first, but suffering a few down years lately, how does it feel to be back on top?

Pgastan FC (PFC): It feels good, Johnny, thanks for asking.

FM: Johnny? I've actually never revealed my name on this blog.

PFC: Oh, you just seemed like a Johnny to me. Anyway, it feels great to be back on top with my 3rd title. Like you said, I was a huge force in the beginning of the league but then it seemed liked other foul clubs got better at player evaluation so my competition got harder.

FM: So what did you do to improve your player evaluation to get back on top?

PFC: Glad you asked, Johnny, it's actually a very interesting story. It was the 2015-2016 season and I wanna say it was like mid-December. My team had just bottomed out to 7th place out of the 8 Foul Clubs. I was like, "there's gotta be a better way to evaluate talent in the NFA." So, inspired by analytics in other sports, I decided to create my own database of the previous 2 years of stats. I was able to identified free agents that could immediately help my Foul Club and they did as I finished in 3rd place.

FM: Do you have a name for your method?

PFC: Yes, I call it Foulerball. I know, I know, it's suspiciously similar to Moneyball. 

FM: Did you use Foulerball this season?

PFC: Yes, I have been using it for the last 3 seasons, but it took a few years for me to tweak my draft strategy in order to fully capitalize on the data.

FM: Do you know of any other Foul Clubs using analytics?

PFC: During this year's draft, Oww Ming's Flagrants, last year's champion, mentioned that he does Foulerball. It was him drafting a rookie that made me look into it on the spot during the draft. I went with Harry Giles initially but then dropped him for Jaren Jackson Jr. because he was getting more playing time. JJJ, was a top 5 fouler until his injury in March, definitely helped me to the title.

FM: Will you draft rookies going forward? Why did you never draft a rookie before?

PFC: Well, I'll answer the second part first. That's simply because the lack of data, but was able to find a little bit of info on college foul stats somewhere and took my chance. I will definitely look into rookies again and maybe even take a chance on one if the draft value is right.

FM: How would you grade your draft looking back on it?

PFC: Well, Foulerball led me to Patrick Beverely as an elite fouler and he goes on to be MVF this year, so that was amazing. I even whiffed on my 1st round pick, Julius Randle, who had an OK season but I was debating between Andre Drummond and him for that pick and went with Randle due to his previous season's performance. Though, if i draft Drummond, I am not sure I draft Blake Griffin as I like to diversify by not having too many foulers on the same NBA team. I probably could have challenged for NFA all-time score had I drafted Drummond along with Beverley.

FM: You finished 2nd in fouls, 3rd in foul outs, 1st in techies (by a lot), 3rd in ejections, and tied for 7th in flagrants. Are you satisfied with your team stats?

PFC: Yes I am, Johnny, I say, it aligned well with my draft strategy and Foulerball database. It's how I have chosen to evaluate Foulers.

FM: So since you started Foulerball, you have finished 3rd, 4th, 2nd, and 1st in the league, does this prove that analytics has a place in the NFA?

PFC: Oh yeah, I think it does. It really shows that talent evaluation can make a difference. It's going to depend on other Foul Clubs and if they want to hire the right staff to build analytics departments to compete with myself and Oww Ming. Though GG Foulin' seems to know his stuff anyway somehow, so he is a threat should he choose to stay in the league.

In Fact, I just finished updating my database to reflect this past season and already noticing a few things different, plus looking at different ways to evaluate Foulers.

FM: Different ways?

PFC: Well, Oww Ming alluded to evaluating foulers per 48 minutes while I focused on normalizing to the game. I have added minutes into my database just to give me another way of looking at talent.

FM: Your team kind of limped to the title though, any comments on that?

PFC: Well, when Jaren Jackson Jr. went down that was brutal for my foul club. DeAndre Jordan getting traded and not getting a ton of playing time hurt too. Also, a bench Flagrant 2 ejection from Marcus Smart in the 3rd to last week would have helped make the end less of a sweat had I started him that week. Luckily, my team was so good for the first 4.5 months that I was able to withstand a lull in the last 4 or so weeks.

FM: Anything else you want to add?

PFC: Not really, just glad Foulerball is finally getting the respect it deserves.

FM: Great, congratulations on your 3rd title!

PFC: Thanks, Johnny!

Monday, April 15, 2019

2018-2019 End of the Season Donkies!

Without further ado, let's get to the awards!

The Roger Murdock Persistent Fouling Award (Most Personal Fouls):
Karl-Anthony Towns finished with the most fouls at 292.

The Shawn Kemp Award (Most Foul Outs):
It's a 2-way tie between Karl-Anthony Towns and Jusuf Nurkic! Each finished with 9 foul outs.

The Rasheed Wallace Legacy Award (Most Technical Fouls):
It's a 2-way tie between Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant! Each finished the season with 16 Technical Fouls

The Charles Oakley Award (Most Flagrant Fouls):
Russell Westbrook finished the season with 4 flagrants.

The Dennis Rodman Award (Most Ejections):  
Nikola Jokic finished the season with 3 ejections.

Donkies by Position  Note State Lines below are: (Personal Fouls-Foul Outs-Techies-Ejections-Flagrants):

PG: Russell Westbrook with 2485 points (245-5-16-0-4)

SG: Patrick Beverley with 2525 points (265-6-14-2-1)

SF: Paul George with 1650 points (214-3-10-0-0)

PF: Draymond Green with 1965 points (197-2-15-1-2)

C: Karl-Anthony Towns with 2440 points (292-9-9-0-1)

6th Man Award (Highest Point total for a fouler who went undrafted): Mason Plumlee with 1900 points (252-5-2-1-2)

Most Valuable Fouler (MVF): Patrick Beverley with 2525 points (265-6-14-2-1)

This was definitely the year of the Guard with the top 2 foulers being Beverely and Westbrook. Also, it seems liked scoring was up with 7 foulers not only breaking 2000 points but the top 3 breaking 2400 points which I don't believe has ever happened. Also, there were a lot of foul outs this year with top 9 having 6 or more where the top 3 finishers last year had 6.

I was able to catch up with the GM for Pgastan FC during the awards banquet tonight for an interview so check back in a few days as he reflects on his most recent championship and talks analytics.

Well that's it for now.






Keep Foulin' Y'all!

FM 

Thursday, April 11, 2019

2018-2019 NFA Season Recap

Wow, so we just concluded the 10th season of the National Foul Association! Can't believe it's been that long. From our humble beginnings of just 6 foul clubs with only 3 of them playing attention for the first few seasons (though the league was 8 teams then 7 teams in the 2nd and 3rd season) to having 9 Foul Clubs all make it to the draft this year in one of our most competitive seasons ever! It's been a long journey to get here so let's see how the final season finished out.

I am going to update the NFA All-Time Standings here now. First introduced in last year's NFA Season recap.

5 of the 9 teams are averaging over 10,000 points per season. Though it should be noted that GG Foulin' has only competed in 2 seasons but is averaging over 12,000 points. Only time will tell if he can keep that pace up.

Let's get to the recap of this final, short, 3-day week of the NFA Season.

Stat Corrections:
- Mitchell Robinson had a techy taken away from him retroactive to March 28th. GG Foulin' did not have him active that week so he does not lose 40 points.
- Russell Westbrook had a techy taken away from him retroactive to March 31st. Gamblor had him active that week so he loses 40 points.
- Brook Lopez had a techy taken away from him retroactive to April 1st. F'N FLOPPERS had him active that week so he loses 40 points.


Final 2018-2019 NFA Standings:

1. Pgastan FC - 12455 (+75)
2. GG Foulin' - 12070 (+170)
3. Oww Ming's Flagrants -11245 (+95)
4. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 10760 (+195)
5. Gamblor - 10060 (+135)
6. F'N FLOPPERS - 9635 (+65)
7  Arlington Assaulters - 9130 (+105)
8. Baltimore Hitsquad - 9080 (+20)
9. Ohsnappers!!! - 8000 (+25)

Ohsnappers!!! finished the season at exactly 8000 points, a nice round number, after scoring 25 points in the last 2 game days. Baltimore Hitsquad only managed 20 points and thus falls to 8th place as Arlington Assaulters passes him up with 105 points this final week. F'N FLOPPERS managed 65 points and stays in 6th place. Gamblor was able to crack 10,000 points after scoring 135 points.

Rodman'sWeddingDress put up 195 points and stays in 4th place. Oww Ming's Flagrants scored 95 points to remain in 3rd place. GG Foulin's late charge continued putting up 170 points in the final short week but it proved too little too late as Pgastan FC holds on for his 3rd title after scoring 75 points this week. 

This is only the 2nd season in which 5 teams finished over 10,000 points. The other being 2012-2013 which was also won by Pgastan FC, his last title before this one.

Team Foul Stats
Let's take a look at which foul club accumulated the most stats of each of the 5 stat categories as well as totals for the NFA this season.


Personal Fouls 
Total: 12,551
Leader: GG Foulin' with 1,642 fouls (13% of the league's fouls)
Low: Ohsnappers!!! with 1,160 fouls (9.2% share)

Foul Outs
Total: 131
Leader: Oww Ming's Flagrants with 27 (20.6% share)
Low: F'N FLOPPERS with 8 (6.1% share)

Technical Fouls
Total: 390
Leader: Pgastan FC with 65 (16.6% share)
Low: Oww Ming's Flagrants with 33 (8.4% share)

Flagrant Fouls
Total: 34
Leader: Gamblor with 9 (26.4% share)
Low: Ohsnappers!!! with 1 (2.9% share)

Ejections 
Total: 35
Leader: Baltimore Hitsquad with 7 (20% share)
Low: Ohsnappers!!! and Oww Ming's Flagrants each with 2 (each with a 2.8% share)

We have a new record for foul outs in a season with 27 as Oww Ming's Flagrants breaks the old record of 25 held by Pgastan FC (2009-2010) and Rodman'sWeddingDress (2010-2011). Here is an updated recap of current season records:

Personal Fouls
Pgastan FC: 1,766 (2009-2010) 

Foul Outs
Oww Ming's Flagrants 27 (2018-2019)

Technical Fouls
Oww Ming's Flagrants: 70 (2016-2017)

Flagrant Fouls
Pgastan FC: 12 (2016-2017)

Ejections
Pgastan FC: 8 (2012-2013)

It's interesting to note that Oww Ming's Flagrants finished in 3rd place despite finishing last in techies and last in Ejections. He finished 3rd in personal fouls, 1st in foul outs (mentioned above), and tied for 2nd in flagrants. This just shows you that there can be multiple ways to build a successful foul club. Both Pgastan FC and Oww Ming's Flagrants are known to use Foulerball (analytics) when building a foul squad so this just proves there is a place for it in the NFA.

Also interesting to note that GG Foulin' played the most games at 574 and finished 2nd while Champion Pgastan FC had 2nd most games at 553.Oww Ming's Flagrants had 549 games this season which ranks 3rd and he finished 3rd in the standings.  

Average Points Per Game: The order is the final standings.

1. Pgastan FC (553 Games) - 22.52
2. GG Foulin' (574 Games) - 21.03
3. Oww Ming's Flagrants (549 Games) - 20.48
4. Rodman'sWeddingDress (512 Games) - 21.02
5. Gamblor (514 Games) - 19.57
6. F'N FLOPPERS (529 Games) - 18.21
7  Arlington Assaulters (481 Games) - 18.98
8. Baltimore Hitsquad (477 Games) - 19.04
9. Ohsnappers!!! (471 Games)- 16.99

You would think that the average points per game would directly correlate with the final standings but as you can see that's not the case. Let's see who was presumably lucky and who was unlucky. Ohsnappers!!! finsihed last and had the lost average so that fits. However, Baltimore Hitsquad average 19.04 points per game which would rank 6th out of 9 but he finished in 8th place.If he had more games played he could have finished higher up. Arlington Assaulters seems t have played to his team potential. F'N FLOPPERS looks to have gotten lucky with only 18.21 points per game, which is 8th but he finished 6th. 

Gamblor played to potential but it appears that Rodman'sWeddingDress should have finished in 3rd place after averaging 21.02 points (just behind GG Foulin') but he only had 512 games played whereas 3rd place Oww Ming's Flagrants had 549 which is 37 more games than Rodman'sWeddingDress.  

So what does this tell us? It tells us that both quality and quantity matter in the NFA.


NFA Titles:
Pgastan FC (formerly Donkey Engine and Steam Donkey FC) 3 -  2009-2010, 2012-2013. 2018-2019
Rodman'sWeddingDress 3 - 2010-2011, 2011-2012, 2014-2015
Arlington Assaulters 2- 2013-2014 and 2015-2016
GG Foulin' 1- 2016-2017 

Oww Ming's Flagrants 1- 2017-2018 


Final Points Graph:
 
Well that's it for now. Check back for a few more season wrap-up posts to come. In addition to the End of the Season Donkies, I am told we will have an interview with league champion Pgastan FC. We interviewed Arlington Assaulters a few years ago after he won so trying to resurrect that feature so the league champion can reflect on their past season success. 

Keep Foulin' Y'all!

FM 

Monday, April 8, 2019

Week 25 Roundup: MBGA Edition

Make Basketball Great Again! So, I was at the 76ers/Bucks game last Thursday here in Philly and being a transplant from Chicago, I didn't really have a rooting interest in the game. I had no foulers in the game and GG Foulin' didn't either so I could just relax and watch the game. When I was really into basketball in high school and college I would get so into the games even early on. But it's a game of runs so I knew that you could be up 15 early and still lose and be down 15 early and still win. I then taught myself to basically not get emotionally invested into a game until about 5 minutes left.

So, it was early in the 1st quarter and I was just causally watching talking to my friend when a scuffle broke out between Embiid and Bledsoe. Oh man! Was that amazing. It's not like stupid staged hockey fights. This was a sweet scuffle. They reviewed it and Bledsoe got a DTE, Embiid got a single Techy, and Mike Scott also got a single techy. I was so pumped after that ejection. I don't make it to a lot of NBA NFA games but I had never seen an ejection live since I became the commissioner of the National Foul Association. (I can't even recall seeing a techy live come to think of it, but I may have).

Live ejections are amazing! It really does make the sport worth watching. I will leave you with this quote before I get to the normal write-up:

"Basketball is way more enjoyable now that I understand that it's meant to be watched for fouls and not baskets." ---Arlington Assaulters Owner (January 30th, 2014).

Stat Corrections:
-There were no stat corrections this week

Transactions:
- GG Foulin' added Justise Winslow on April 7th.
- Pgastan FC added Jerami Grant and dropped Jae Crowder on April 7th.
- Pgastan FC added Mario Hezonja and dropped DeAndre Jordan on April 7th.
- Pgastan FC added Dion Waiters and dropped Nemanja Bjelica on April 7th.
- Pgastan FC added Andrew Wiggins and dropped Bradley Beal on April 7th.
- Pgastan FC added Deion Wright and dropped John Collins on April 7th.
- Pgastan FC added Goran Dragic and dropped Marcus Smart on April 7th.
- Pgastan FC added Brandon Adebayo and dropped Dion Waiters on April 7th.


Standings as of April 8, 2019:

1. Pgastan FC - 12380 (+235)
2. GG Foulin' - 11900 (+585)
3. Oww Ming's Flagrants -11150 (+270)
4. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 10565 (+465)
5. Gamblor - 9925 (+315)
6. F'N FLOPPERS - 9570 (+625)
7. Baltimore Hitsquad - 9060 (+440)
8  Arlington Assaulters - 9025 (+260)
9. Ohsnappers!!! - 7975 (+195)

<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week 

 Ohsnappers!!! had a horrible week of 195 points and remains in last place by a fair amount. The good news is that he should crack the 8000 point club in the last 2 days barring an entire roster of DNPs. Arlington Assaulters had a poor week of 260 points and drops to 8th place because Baltimore Hitsquad had a great week of 440 points which was enough to pass AA by 35 points. F'N FLOPPERS had an amazing week of 625 points and remains well established in 6th place.Gamblor had an average week of 315 points and remains in 5th.

Moving to the top half. Rodman'sWeddingDress had a great week of 465 points and stays in 4th place. Oww Ming's Flagrants had a poor week of 270 points and stays in 3rd place. GG Foulin' had an excellent week of 585 points and stays in 2nd place. He was able to gain 350 points on 1st place Pgastan FC who had a poor week of 235 points.

With only 2 days left in the season with a total of 22 games to be played, it is most likely that the only position still up for grabs is 7th place (the duel between Baltimore Hitsquad and Arlington Assaulters). Some team would have to go bonkers for anyone else to have a chance to move up in the standings.

Points Graph:
 
Well that's it for now.

Check back on Thursday to find out how the season ended!

Keep Foulin' Y'all!

FM