Monday, January 9, 2023

Week 12 Roundup: 3rd Month Anlysis Blowout!

Normally, I don't write an intro to these posts since they take so long to write but I'm making an exception tonight after Oww Ming's Flagrants had an incredible week capped off by a 440 point performance last night. He scored over 1000 points this week which is extremely rare I believe it''s happened a few times but it's not often. Here's the breakdown of his performance last night:

Oww Ming's Flagrants on 1-08-2023

Trae Young. - 15 Points (3-0-0-0-0)
LaMelo Ball - 130 Points (6-1-1-0-0)
OG Anunoby- 90 Points (6-1-0-0-0)
Pascal Siakam - 95 Points (3-0-0-0-1)
Jaren Jackson Jr. - 90 Points (6-1-0-0-0)
Mitchell Robinson -No Game
Kelly Olynyk - 20 Points (4-0-0-0-0)
 
Total - 400 Points (28-3-1-0-1)
 
All of that with no ejection too and 1 fouler who didn't even play. Incredible! Now onto this week's post.

Stat Corrections
- There were no stat corrections this week

Transactions
- Gamblor added Myles Turner and dropped RJ Barrett on January 2nd
- Pgastan FC dropped DeAndre Hunter on January 7th
- Pgastan FC dropped Jalen McDaniels on January 8th
- Pgastan FC added Jalen McDaniels and dropped Nic Claxton on January 8th
- GG Foulin' dropped Andrew Nembhard on January 8th

Standings as of January 9th, 2023
 
1. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 6460 (+1005)  
2. GG Foulin' - 5920 (+445)  
3. Gamblor - 5905 (+485)
4. Pgastan FC - 5840 (+525) 
5. Baltimore Hitsquad - 5750 (+510)
6. Arlington Assaulters - 5175  (+420) 
7. F'N FLOPPERS - 4735 (+550)   
8. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 4090 (+390)
9. Ohsnappers!!! - 3935 (+190)

<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week
 
Ohsnappers!!! had a horrible week of 190 points and falls back to 9th place. Rodman'sWeddingDress had an average week of 390 points and moves back up to 8th place. F'N FLOPPERS had an excellent week of 550 points and stays in 7th place. Arlington Assautlers had a great week of 420 points and stays in 6th place. 
 
Baltimore Hitsquad had an excellent week of 510 points and stays in 5th place. Pgastan FC had an excellent week of 525 points and stays in 4th place. Gamblor had a great week of 485 points and stays in 3rd place. GG Foulin' had a great week of 445 points but falls to 2nd place. Oww Ming's Flagrants had an amazing redonkulous week of 1005 points and moves up to 1st with a nice cushion too. 
 
Average Points Per Game - Avg PPG (Last Month Avg PPG)
 
1. Oww Ming's Flagrants (267 Games) -  24.19 (22.75)
2. GG Foulin' (281 Games) - 21.07 (20.16)
3. Gamblor (249 Games) -  23.71 (23.20) 
4. Pgastan FC (266 Games) - 21.95 (22.51)
5. Baltimore Hitsquad (268 Games) - 21.46 (21.93)
6. Arlington Assaulters (266 Games) - 19.45 (21.03) 
7. F'N FLOPPERS (247 Games) - 19.17 (19.10) 
8. Rodman'sWeddingDress (245 Games) - 16.69 (17.49)
9. Ohsnappers!!! (220 Games) -  17.89 (18.41)

League Average (257 Games) - 20.62 (20.73) 

According to points per game we have a few surprises. Rodman'sWeddingDress should be in last place and Ohsnappers!!! should be in 8th. AA and F'N are fouling to their average. GG Foulin' should be in 5th place but he has clearly played the most games so he finds himself in 2nd. Baltimore should be in 4th, PFC should be in 3rd, and Gamblor should be in 2nd. Oww Ming is rightfully in 1st place as of this post. 

Projected Final Standings:
 
Team Name - Traditional Method (Linear Regression) [Previous Month's LR]  
 
1. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 13,460 (12,740) [13,030]
2. GG Foulin' - 12,335 (12,025) [11,855]
3. Gamblor - 12,300 (12,335) [11,895] 
4. Pgastan FC - 12,165 (12,160) [12,320]
5. Baltimore Hitsquad - 11,980 (12,070) [12,175] 
6. Arlington Assaulters - 10,780 (11,010) [11,325]
7. F'N FLOPPERS -  9,865 (9,560) [9,450] 
8. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 8,520 (8,815) [9,280]
9. Ohsnappers!!! - 8,200 (8,485) [8,555]
 
So by this metric, Oww Ming's Flagrants is still projected to finish in 1st. However, the first change among current standings is that Gamblor is projected to finish in 2nd, PFC in 3rd, and BH in 4th. GG Foulin' finds themselves projected to in 5th place despite currently being in 2nd. The rest of the projected final standings are accurate in terms of where those foul clubs are now. 

Points Graph:
 
 
Tier 5: Rodman'sWeddingDress, Ohsnappers!!!
Tier 4: F'N FLOPPERS
Tier 3: Arlington Assaulters
Tier 2: GG Foulin', Gamblor, Pgastan FC, Baltimore Hitsquad
Tier 1: Oww Ming's Flagrants 

The tiers have started to shake out over the last few weeks We still clearly have a bnottom tier with Rodman and Ohsnappers!!!. F'N Floppers and AA have found themselves in tier purgatory well away from anyone. We then have a jumble of foul clubs in tier 2, fighting for places 2nd through 5th. Oww Ming's Flagrants had been in a tier with other foul clubs until their incredible week this week separated them from the pack. 

Well that's it for now.

Keep Foulin' Y'all!

FM
 

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