Monday, December 25, 2023

Week 9 Roundup: An NFA Christmas Carol

The foul outs were dead to begin with. Yahoo still hasn't rectified the missing foul out issue and I'm heard they were visited by the ghosts of NFA past, present, and future last night. Hopefully this now motivates them to fix their product. Anyway, let's get to this week's post.

The ghost of NFA past pays a visit and brings stat corrections.

Stat Corrections:
- Andre Drummond lost a techy retroactive to Ocotber 25th. Arlington Assaulters did not have him active that week so they do not lose 40 points.
- Luguentz Dort lost a techy retroactive to October 25th. Pgastan FC did not have him active that week so they do not lose 40 points. 
- Rudy Gobert lost a techy retroactive to October 30th. Ohsnappers!!! had him active that week so they lose 40 points. 
- Kelly Oubre Jr. lost a techy retroactive to November 2nd. GG Foulin' did not have him active that week so they do not lose 40 points. 
- Marcus Smart lost a techy retroactive to November 12th. Oww Ming's Flagrants had him active that week so they lose 40 points. 
- Jeremy Sochan lost a techy retroactive to November 14th. GG Foulin' did not have him active that week so they do not lose 40 points
- Aaron Gordon lost a techy retroactive to November 19th. Rodman'sWeddingDress had him active that week so they lose 40 points. 
- Rudy Gobert lost a techy retroactive to November 20th. Ohsnappers!!! had him active that week so they lose 40 points. 
- OG Anunoby lost a techy retroactive to November 21st. Baltimore Hitsquad did not have him active that week so they do not lose 40 points. 
- Jayson Tatum lost a techy retroactive to November 24th. Gamblor had him active that week so they lose 40 points. 
- Alperen Sengun lost a techy retroactive to November 24th. Rodman'sWeddingDress did not have him active that week so they do not lose 40 points. 
- Julius Randle lost a techy retroactive to December 11th. Baltimore Hitsuqad had him active that week so they lose 40 points.
-  Julius Randle lost a techy retroactive to December 15th. Baltimore Hitsuqad had him active that week so they lose 40 points.
- Dillon Brooks lost a techy retroactive to December 15th. F'N FLOPPERS had him active that week so they lose 40 points. 
- Jonahs Valanciunas lost a techy retroactive to December 17th. F'N FLOPPERS had him active that week so they lose 40 points. 
- Dillon Brooks lost a techy retroactive to December 17th. F'N FLOPPERS had him active that week so they lose 40 points. 
- Nikola Vucevic lost a techy retroactive to December 18th. Baltimore Hitsquad had him active that week so they lose 40 points. 

Summary of the visit from the Ghost of NFA Past and what was taken away:
 
Pgastan FC - 0 Points Lost
GG Foulin' - 0 Points Lost
Arlington Assaulters - 0 Points Lost
F'N FLOPPERS - 120 Points Lost
Oww Ming's Flagrants - 40 Points Lost
Gamblor - 40 Points Lost
Ohsnappers!!! - 80 Points Lost
Rodman'sWeddingDress - 40 Points Lost
Baltimore Hitsquad - 120 Points Lost
 
Transactions
- GG Foulin' added Isiah Hartenstein and dropped Dereck Lively II on December 21st
- Pgastan FC dropped Toumani Camara on December 23rd
- Ohsnappers!!! added Chris Paul and dropped CJ McCollum on December 24th
- Pgastan FC added Cole Anthony and dropped Coby White on December 24th
- Pgastan FC added Naz Reid on December 24th

Standings as of December 25th, 2023
 
1. Pgastan FC - 4365 (+340)
2. GG Foulin' - 4300 (+400)
3. Arlington Assaulters - 4210 (+390)
4. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 3855 (+390)
5. F'N FLOPPERS - 3790 (+285)  
6. Gamblor - 3070 (+275) 
7. Ohsnappers!!! - 3045 (+290)
8. Baltimore Hitsquad - 2920 (+395)
9. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 2840 (+155) 

<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week
 
Rodman'sWeddingDress had a horrible week of 155 points and falls to 9th place.  Baltimore Hitsquad had an average week of 395 points and moves up to 8th place. Ohsnapers!!! had a poor week of 290 points and stays in 7th place. Gamblor had a poor week of 275 points and stays in 6th place. F'N FLOPPERS had a poor week of 285 points and falls to 5th place. 

Oww Ming's Flagrants had an average week of 390 points and moves up to 4th place. Arlington Assaulters had an average week of 390 points and stays in 3rd place. GG Foulin' had a great week of 400 points and stays in 2nd place. Pgastan FC had an average week of 340 points and stays atop the standings. 

Points Graph:
 
 
Tier 3: Gamblor, Ohsnappers!!!, Baltimore Hitsquad, Rodman'sWeddingDress
Tier 2: Oww Ming's Flagrants, F'N FLOPPERS
Tier 1: Pgastan FC, GG Foulin', Arlington Assaulters

The tiers seem pretty well established at this point and seem to be coming into clearer focus too. Tier 3 consists of hte bottom 4 teams and those teams are all fouling well below the league average. Tier 2 are teams in 4th and 5th and are fouling just above the the league average. While Tier 1 consists of teams in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd adn are fouling well above the league averfage. 

Well that's it for now.

Keep Foulin' Y'all!

FM
 
 

Monday, December 18, 2023

Week 8 Roundup: 2nd Month Analysis Blowout!

This is going to be a long post and hte sooner I write this the sooner I can get back to my Ocarina of Time play through I started a few days ago in honor of that game's 25th anniversary last month So let's get right into it.

Stat Corrections:
- Isaiah Stewart had an ejection given to him retroactive to December 13th. Pgastan FC had him active that week so he gains 100 points.
 
Transactions
- Arlington Assaulters added Georges Niang on December 13th
- Arlington Assaulters dropped Jae Crowder on December 13th
- Arlington Assaulters added Jonathan Kuminga on December 13th
- Pgastan FC added Toumani Camara on December 17th

Standings as of December 18th, 2023
 
1. Pgastan FC - 4025 (+535)
2. GG Foulin' - 3900 (+460)
3. Arlington Assaulters - 3820 (+605) 
4. F'N FLOPPERS - 3505 (+675) 
5. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 3465 (+515)
6. Gamblor - 2795 (+495) 
7. Ohsnappers!!! - 2755 (+310)
8. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 2685 (+400) 
9. Baltimore Hitsquad - 2525 (+365)

<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week
 
Baltimore Hitsquad had an average week of 365 points but stays in last place. Rodman'sWeddingDress had a great week of 400 points but stays in 8th place. Ohsnappers!!! had an average week of 310 points but falls to 7th place. Gamblor had a great week of 495 points and moves up to 6th place. Oww Ming's Flagrants had an excellent week of 515 points but falls to 5th place. 
 
F'N FLOPPERS had an amazing week of 675 points (315 of those points came yesterday, more on that in a second) and moves up to 4th place. Arlington Assaulters had an amazing week of 605 points but stays in 3rd place. GG Foulin' had a great week of 460 points and stays in 2nd place. Finally, Pgastan FC had an excellent week of 535 points and stays in 1st place. 

Now, back to F'N FLOPPERS big day yesterday as we had our first ever triple-techy ejection! That's right. I can't find exactly what happened but Dillon Brooks must have received a techy for flopping then got a DTE.

Average Points Per Game - Avg PPG (Last Month Avg PPG)
 
1. Pgastan FC (167 Games) - 24.10 (26.25)
2. GG Foulin' (174 Games) - 22.41 (27.15)
3. Arlington Assaulters (160 Games) - 23.88 (23.38) 
4. F'N FLOPPERS (170 Games) - 20.62 (17.38)
5. Oww Ming's Flagrants (161 Games) - 21.52 (23.00)
6. Gamblor (165 Games) - 16.94 (12.08)
7. Ohsnappers!!! (152 Games) - 18.13 (18.61)
8. Rodman'sWeddingDress (165 Games) - 16.27 (16.72)
9. Baltimore Hitsquad (158 Games) - 15.98 (17.05)
 
League Average (164 Games) - 19.98 (20.18)  
 
Being a 2nd month in points per game have started to normalize. We have 5 teams fouling above the league average. Arlington Assautlers should be in 2nd place by this metric and Oww Ming should be in 4th. Gamblor should be in 7th while F'N FLOPPERS should be in 5th. 

Projected Final Standings:
 
Team Name - Traditional Method (Linear Regression) [Previous Month's LR]  
 
1. Pgastan FC - 12,580 (12,980) [14,070] 
2. GG Foulin' - 12,190 (13,115) [15,320]
3. Arlington Assaulters - 11,940 (11,685) [10,115]
4. F'N FLOPPERS -  10,955 (10,020) [9,095]
5. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 10,830 (11,215) [12,235] 
6. Gamblor - 8,735 (8,120) [6,200]
7. Ohsnappers!!! - 8,610 (8,955) [8,775] 
8. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 8,390 (8,835) [9,580]
9. Baltimore Hitsquad - 7,890 (8,055) [8,215]

According to linear regression, GG Foulin' should be in 1st place and Pgastan FC should be in 2nd place. F'N  FLOPPERS and Oww Ming should also be flipped. Ohsnappers!!! should be in 6th place and Rodman'sWeddingDress should be in 7th place. Finally, Gamblor should be in 8th. 

Points Graph:
 
 
Tier 3: Gamblor, Ohsnappers!!!, Rodman'sWeddingDress, Baltimore Hitsquad
Tier 2: F'N FLOPPERS, Oww Ming's Flagrants
Tier 1: Pgastan FC, GG Foulin', Arlington Assaulters

We still have 3 distinct tiers we had last week though some of the teams have moved around within a tier. It's actually pretty crazy to have these tiers formed so early in the season. We'll see if they hold up or for how long. 

Well that's it for now.

Keep Foulin' Y'all!

FM