With this season only 20 weeks long, this will be the last big analysis post. With that being said, let's get right to it!
Stat Corrections:
- There were no stat corrections this week
Transactions:
- Pgastan FC added John Wall and dropped Darius Garland on April 11th
- GG Foulin' dropped Nickeil Alexander-Walker on April 11th
- GG Foulin' dropped Saddiq Bey on April 11th
- GG Foulin' added Nickeil Alexander-Walker on April 11th
- GG Foulin' added Jaden McDaniels on April 11th
- Pgastan FC added Nerlens Noel and dropped PJ Washington on April 11th.
Standings as of April 12th, 2021
1. GG Foulin' - 7435 (+480)
2. Pgastan FC - 7260 (+355)
3. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 7035 (+420)
4. F'N FLOPPERS - 5905 (+650)
5. Arlington Assaulters - 5785 (+600)
6. Baltimore Hitsquad - 5655 (+465)
7. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 5450 (+525)
8. Gamblor - 5225 (+305)
9. Ohsnappers!!! - 3645 (+315)
League Average - 5933
<= 195 points: Horrible week
200-295 points: Poor week
300-395 points: Average week
400-495 Points: Great Week
500-595 Points: Excellent Week
>=600 points: Amazing week
So all teams had at least an average week this time but still only the top 3 teams are fouling above the league average. However, F'N FLOPPERS has almost broken that mark as they are only 28 points (so really 30 since we only score in increments of 5) away.
Ohsnappers!!! had an average week of 315 points and remains in last place. Gamblor had an average week of 305 points and remains in 8th place. Rodman'sWeddingDress had an excellent week of 525 points but stays in 7th place. Baltimore Hitsquad had a great week of 465 points but actually falls to 6th place. Arlington Assaulters had an excellent week of 600 points and moves up to 5th place. F'N FLOPPERS had an excellent week of 650 points and stays in 4th place.
Oww Ming's Flagrants had a great week of 420 points and stays in 3rd place. Pgastan FC had an average week of 355 points and stays in 2nd place. Finally, GG Foulin' had a great week of 480 points and stays in 1st place.
Average Points Per Game - Avg PPG (Last Month Avg PPG)
1. GG Foulin' (365 Games) -20.37 (20.79)
2. Pgastan FC (343 Games) - 21.17 (21.16)
3. Oww Ming's Flagrants (336 Games) - 20.94 (21.09)
4. F'N FLOPPERS (293 Game) - 20.15 (19.38)
5. Arlington Assaulters (334 Games) - 17.32 (16.98)
6. Baltimore Hitsquad (336 Games) - 16.83 (16.52)
7. Rodman'sWeddingDress (336 Games) - 16.22 (16.00)
8. Gamblor (317 Games) - 16.48 (17.29)
9. Ohsnappers!!! (302 Games) - 12.07 (10.66)
League Average (329 Games) - 17.95 (17.76)
Not sure why I hadn't thought about putting the last month PPG next to the current but I am doing it tonight. It's pretty interesting to see if any foul clubs have had any significant changes in PPG. The biggest change appears at the bottom with Ohsnappers!!! gaining 1.41 PPG compared to last month. Pgastan FC is the most consistent by only gaining by .01 PPG. This metric has PFC finishing 1st, Oww Ming's in 2nd and GG Foulin' in 3rd. GG Foulin' has a significant games played lead which is most likely why they are in first place. One final thing to note, F'N FLOPPERS has by far the lowest games played, in fact the only foul club to not have more than 300 games played yet they find themselves in 4th place with 20.15 PPG. In fact, by this metric, F'N FLOPPERS finds themselves in tier 1 as there is a drop off of 2.2 PPG between them and AA.
Projected Final Standings:
Team Name - Traditional Method (Linear Regression) [Previous Month LR]
1. GG Foulin' - 9,295 (9,275) [9,215]
2. Pgastan FC - 9,075 (9,265) [9,480]
3. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 8,795 (8,850) [8,920]
4. F'N FLOPPERS - 7,380 (7,220) [7,295]
5. Arlington Assaulters - 7,230 (6,970) [6.940]
6. Baltimore Hitsquad - 7,070 (6,790) [6,660]
7. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 6,810 (6,695) [6,735]
8. Gamblor - 6,530 (6,815) [7,050]
9. Ohsnappers!!! - 4,555 (4,310) [4,190]
As with the metric above I decided to keep last month's linear regression next to the current one to see what hs changed. It's a lot of numbers and that's in brackets and I color coded it in red so hopefully that helps distinguish it. GG Foulin' has stayed pretty consistent whereas PFC has fallen about 200 points from their previous projection last month. The most interesting things is the linear regression has GG Foulin' edging out a title by a mere 10 points. Teams 4 through 8 stayed in the same ballpark as their previous LR projections. Ohsnappers!!! basically did as well.
Points Graph:
Tier 5: Ohsnappers!!!
Tier 4: Rodman'sWeddingDress, Gamblor
Tier 3: F'N FLOPPERS, Arlington Assaulters, Baltimore Hitsquad
Tier 2: Oww Ming's Flagrants
Tier 1: GG Foulin', Pgastan FC
It looks like the separation of the tiers that started last week has stayed for this week as well. We definitely have some more separation within the tiers as well as clearly seen in the graph. Though, we basically have the same 3 basic tiers we have had for most of the season. And as mentioned earlier in this post only the top 3 teams are fouling above the league average though F'N FLOPPERS has almost broken that ceiling.
Well that's it for now.
Keep Foulin' Y'all!
FM
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