Monday, March 9, 2026

2025-2026 NFA Season; 5th Month Analysis Blowout

Can you believe it? We've already reached our last analysis blowout post of the 2025-26 NFA season. Incredible! Where does the time go? There are 25 weeks in the NFA season and you're probably wondering why this is the last if week 24 would normally have one but that is the penultimate week of the season and there's really no point in projected what will happen with just one week to go when I would post that. So, anyway, let's see how the 5th month played out.
 
Standings as of March 9th, 2026
 
1. Pgastan FC - 9780 (+1290)
2. GG Foulin' - 9725 (+1660)
3. Arlington Assaulters - 8450 (+1320)
4. Ohsnappers!!! - 7415 (+1455) 
5. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 6675 (+1105)
6. F'N FLOPPERS - 6350 (+1160) 
7. Gamblor - 5935 (+790)
8. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 5650 (+720)
9. Baltimore Hitsquad - 5210 (+940)

<= 795 points: Horrible Month
800-1195 points: Poor Month
1200-1595 points: Average Month
1600-1995 Points: Great Month
2000-2395 Points: Excellent Month
>=2400 points: Amazing Month
 
No teams changed positions in the standings between the 4th and 5th month though it looks like it's only a matter of time before GG Foulin' takes over the lead and he'll likely never relinquish it given Pgastan FC's form. It looks like the last time GG Foulin' had a lead was Week 3 and Pgastan FC had a lead over 1100 points in Week 12. But it all went down hill the week of the trade deadline as a bunch of foulers on PFC got traded and lost some games and GG Foulin' happen to go off that week. JJJ then was lost for the season a few days later and PFC's performance fouls just dried up. Can PFC hold on to win the title? According to the prediction markets it's not looking good. GG Foulin' is -120 to win the league. (Not really, NFA doesn't appear on the prediction markets but I thought this was funny).
 
Average Points Per Game - Avg PPG (Last Month Avg PPG)
 
1. Pgastan FC (412 Games) - 23.74 (24.90) 
2. GG Foulin' (424 Games) - 22.94 (23.51)
3. Arlington Assaulters (414 Games) - 20.41 (20.79)   
4. Ohsnappers!!! (376 Games) - 19.72 (19.67)    
5. Rodman'sWeddingDress (321 Games) - 17.60 (17.86)  
6. Oww Ming's Flagrants (381 Games) - 17.52 (17.85) 
7. F'N FLOPPERS (383 Games) - 16.58 (16.74) 
8. Gamblor (365 Games) - 16.26 (16.44) 
8. Baltimore Hitsquad (338 Games) - 15.41 (15.64)

League Average (379 Games) - 18.91 (19.27)   
 
Like the regular standings, there was no movement on the average points per game standings but let's take a look at if any teams increased their PPG in the 5th month. Arlington Assaulters raised their PPG by 0.38, while Rodman'sWeddingDress raised theirs by 0.26. Oww Ming's Flagrants raised theirs by 0.33, F'N FLOPPERS by 0.16, Gamblor by 0.18, and Baltimore by 0.23. It appears that only PFC, GG, and Ohsnappers actually saw their productivity decline during this period. 
 
Pgastan FC has been fouling so well the first 3 months it's no surprise to seem them regress to the mean as it was likely unsustainable (more on that in the next section) but the astonishing thing is GG Foulin' has pretty much kept consistent as PFC falls back to the pack. 
 
Projected Final Standings as of March 9th, 2026
 
1. Pgastan FC - 13,140
2. GG Foulin' - 12,250
3. Arlington Assaulters - 11,025
4. Ohsnappers!!! - 9,285
5. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 8,860
6. F'N FLOPPERS - 8,140 
7. Gamblor - 7,925
8. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 7,480
9. Baltimore Hitsquad - 6,640
 
The only change in the projected final standings, surprisingly, is that F'N FLOPPERS is projected to finish 6th and Gamblor in 7th. Given Pgastan FC's form, it's kind of shocking that they are still projected to finish almost 1000 points ahead of GG Foulin' but I guess when they were on a tear for so long it influences the regression model. It is noteworthy that Pgastan FC is no longer projected to beat Rodman'sWeddingDress' all time scoring record. 
 
Top 25 Foulers - Number (Rank)
 
1. Pgastan FC - 5 (2, 5, 13, 22, 25)
2. GG Foulin' - 6 (4, 6, 9, 17, 21, 24)
3. Arlington Assaulters - 2 (1, 7) 
4. Ohsnappers!!! - 4 (12, 15, 16, 19) 
5. Oww Ming's Flagrants - 2 (3, 10)
6. F'N FLOPPERS - 1 (20)
7. Gamblor - 1 (18)
8. Rodman'sWeddingDress - 2 (8, 23)
9. Baltimore Hitsquad - 1 (14)
 
Not much change here as Pgastan FC still has 5 and GG Foulin' still has 6 top 25 foulers. The only top 25 fouler not rostered is Jaren Jackson Jr. who is currently ranked 11th but has been out injured for the last few weeks and will miss the rest of the season hence why PFC dropped him. All Foul Clubs have at least one top 25 fouler just like last month though. 
 
Points Graph:
 
 
Tier 6: Baltimore Hitsquad
Tier 5: Gamblor, Rodman'sWeddingDress
Tier 4: Oww Ming's Flagrants, F'N FLOPPERS
Tier 3: Ohsnappers!!!
Tier 2: Arlington Assaulters
Tier 1: Pgastan FC, GG Foulin' 
 
The tiers have changed a bit as it looks like we may have some more duels going into the final stretch. The duel for the title has been touched on a lot this post but we also have a duel for 7th between Gamblor and Rodman'sWeddingDress as well as a duel for 5th between Oww Ming's Flagrants and F'N FLOPPERS. 
 
Only 5 weeks left in the NFA season. Can Pgastan FC hang on and win the title or will GG Foulin' complete an epic comeback? Come back in 5 weeks to find out! 
 
Well that's it for now.
 
Keep Foulin' Y'all!
 
FM